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Senate races shaping up as another 1980 landslide for GOP

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As of last Thursday, there is a reason Democrats are attempting to make Obamacare a moot point in the coming midterm elections. Republican Senate candidates now lead their rivals in seven contests, including three involving Democratic incumbents. Republicans need to win six seats to gain control of the Senate.

In terms of the eighth seat, the two parties are tied. The Democrat is the incumbent. The ninth seat, the GOP candidate trails the Democratic incumbent by only two points.

The following seven races show the Republican In the lead. All are held by Democrats.

Michigan - Terri Lynn Land (R) 40 Gary Peters (D) 38
Democrat Carl Levin is retiring. Heavily blue state.

North Carolina - Thom Tillis (R) 46 Kay Hagan (D) 45
* Tillis leads in close Republican primary while Hagan well under 50% of the vote

Alaska - Mead Treadwell (R) 47 - Mark Begich (D) 43
Treadwell faces tough primary, but Begish is way behind and barely at 43 percent

Montana - Steve Daines (R) 51 John Walsh (D) 37
Seat is open and appears already decided for Republican

Louisiana - Bill Cassidy (R) 46 Mary Landrieu (D) 42
Incumbent Landrieu way under 50 percent and voted for Obamacare

South Dakota - Mike Rounds (R) 51 Rick Weiland (D) 31
Seat is open and appears already decided for Republican

West Virginia - Shelley Moore Capito (R) 49 Natalie Tennant (D) 35
Seat is open and appears already decided for Republican

Close election race

Arkansas - Tom Cotton (R) 46 Mark Pryor (D) 46
Incumbent Pryor is under 50 percent

Republican close in three

Iowa - Mark Jacobs (R) 38 Bruce Braley (D) 41
Open seat. Jacobs still faces tough primary, but possible pickup

Colorado - Cory Gardner (R) 40 Mark Udall (D) 42
Udall way under 50 percent

Minnesota - Julianne Ortman (R) 41 Al Franken (D) 44
Funny man Franken way under 50 percent – not laughing now

Possible Democratic win

Kentucky - Mitch McConnell (R) 43 Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 42
Senate majority leader McConnell way under 50 percent

Eleven Democratic seats leaning Republican and only one Republican seat leaning Democrat. Historic Republican sweep definitely on the political horizon.

Also watch three other races including Oregon where Democrat Jeff Merkley has only 46% of the vote against his nearest rival, Jason Conger.

The New Hampshire senate race where Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen manages only 50 percent of the vote against former Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown at 38.

Finally, Georgia’s senate race has Republican front runner David Perdue (in a primary) leading the Democrat, Michelle Nunn by 38-33.

If all these races stay firm, it will result in a total reversal of today’s senate numbers. The 55-45 Democratic majority will become a 55-45 Republican majority.

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** Send your comments to: dwight.schwab@gmail

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