Here are my SEC football predictions for Week 4 of the college football season.
Record last week: 8-0
Season total: 31-2.
Saturday, September 21
Vanderbilt (1-2, 0-2 SEC) at UMass (0-3)
11 a.m. CT • ESPNews
Foxborough, Mass. • Gillette Stadium (68,756) Sirius: 92 • XM: 199
Series: VU leads, 1-0
VegasInsider Line: Vanderbilt -29 ½
Vinny’s Vibe: Vanderbilt hits the road again coming off the loss at South Carolina last week. UMass is a new FBS that isn’t ready for this level yet.
Vanderbilt 45 UMass 3
North Texas (2-1) at #9 Georgia (1-1, 1-0 SEC)
12:21 p.m. • SEC TV
Athens, Ga. • Sanford Stadium (92,746) Sirius: 93 • XM: 200
Series: First Meeting
VegasInsider Line: Georgia -32 ½
Vinny’s Vibe: This is a mismatch. Only question is, how quickly with the ‘Dawgs put the Mean Green away so they can play some reserves.
Georgia 55 North Texas 7
Arkansas (3-0) at Rutgers (2-1)
2:30 p.m. CT • ESPN
Piscataway, NJ • High Point Solutions Stadium (52,454) Sirius: 92 • XM: 199
Series: Rutgers leads, 1-0
VegasInsider Line: Rutgers -2 ½
Vinny’s Vibe: Both teams have QB health questions for this game with Arkansas’ Brandon Allen and Rutgers’ Gary Nova. That could really slowdown both offenses if they don’t have a semblance of balance. I like the rushing attack of Arkansas better with true freshman 5-star recruit Alex Collins who has been great in his first three college games.
Arkansas 20 Rutgers 17
Tennessee (2-1) at #19 Florida (1-1)
3:30 p.m. CT • CBS
Gainesville, Fla. • Ben Hill Griffin Stadium at Florida Field (88,548) Sirius: 91 • XM: 91
Series: UF leads, 23-19; Last: UF, 37-29 (2012 in Knoxville)
VegasInsider Line: Florida -16
Vinny’s Vibe:This is a huge opportunity for Tennessee and Butch Jones to take a giant step in the rebuilding process for the Vols. The 8-game losing streak to Florida, the horrific recent record against ranked opponents, the struggles on the road, the lack of signature wins, etc are all things that can be turned around today. That being said, Tennessee is thin, banged-up and not as talented as Florida. Tennessee has had an open 4-man QB competition this week. That’s never a recipe for success. Yes, the Florida offense isn’t dynamic but the Gators defense is one of the best in the country. Florida is also great on special teams. Look for Florida to block a punt in this game and win going away in a somewhat ugly game.
Florida 27 Tennessee 10
Colorado State (1-2) at #1 Alabama (2-0, 1-0 SEC)
6 p.m. CT • ESPN2
Tuscaloosa, Ala. • Bryant-Denny Stadium (101,821) Sirius: 93 • XM: 200
Series: First Meeting
VegasInsider Line: Alabama -39
Vinny’s Vibe: Jim McElwain, former Alabama offensive coordinator, is the head coach of the Rams. CSU has great helmets but they are in no way ready to compete with Alabama. The Tide needs to have a clean, complete game so this game presents that opportunity. We’ll see what they do with it.
Alabama 52 Colorado State 6
SMU (1-1) at #10 Texas A&M (2-1, 0-1 SEC)
6 p.m. CT • ESPNU
College Station, Texas • Kyle Field (83,002) Sirius: 85 • XM: 85
Series: A&M leads, 43-29-7
VegasInsider Line: Texas A&M -28
Vinny’s Vibe: Another SEC mismatch in College Station. I like June Jones but the Mustangs have leveled-off. This is a stats game for the Aggies. It is also a chance to try and get better on defense.
Texas A&M 58 SMU 28
Troy (2-1) at Mississippi State (1-2, 0-1 SEC)
6:30 p.m. CT • FSN
Starkville, Miss. • Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field (55,082) Sirius: 92 • XM: 199
Series: MSU leads, 2-1
VegasInsider Line: Mississippi State -14
Vinny’s Vibe: Troy gave the Bulldogs fits last season. MSU has lost to two good teams in Oklahoma State and Auburn. The Bulldogs have a QB question with Tyler Russell possibly returning while Zak Prescott has played well in his place. What will Dan Mullen do at quarterback? Both are good options and the Bulldogs are better.
Mississippi State 35 Troy 14
Auburn (3-0, 1-0 SEC) at #6 LSU (3-0)
6:45 p.m. CT • ESPN
Baton Rouge, La. • Tiger Stadium (92,400) Sirius: 94 • XM: 201
Series: LSU leads, 26-20-1
VegasInsider Line: LSU -17
Vinny’s Vibe: I like the improvement of both teams. Auburn QB Nick Marshall gets better every week. He gives them play-making and a feeling of hope at the position. Auburn still has to get better on defense. LSU QB Zach Mettenberger has never looked better. OC Cam Cameron has truly impacted Mettenberger and the offense. Heavy rains in Baton Rouge could impact this game.
LSU 31 Auburn 13
Missouri (2-0) at Indiana (2-1)
7 p.m. CT • Big Ten Network
Bloomington, Ind. • Memorial Stadium (52,929) Sirius: 113 • XM: 192
Series: Indiana leads, 6-2-2
VegasInsider Line: Missouri -2 ½
Vinny’s Vibe: This is a sleepy interesting game. Indiana is much-improved. The Hoosiers can score. That offense moves about as fast as Oregon. Look for that. Missouri is getting good play from QB James Franklin. Henry Josey’s return this season gives them some balance. We should learn a lot about Missouri’s defense in this game. Take the over.
Missouri 49 Indiana 45
OPEN: Kentucky (1-2), #21 Ole Miss (3-0, 1-0 SEC); #12 South Carolina (2-1, 1-1 SEC)
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