A new Rasmussen Reports poll released Friday, first one after Tuesday’s primary elections, found Georgia Democrat Michelle Nunn leading Republican businessman David Perdue and U.S. Rep. Jack Kingston (R-Ga) in the U.S. Senate race.
The daughter of former U.S. Senator Sam Nunn (D-Ga) does better in a match up with Kingston, leading him 47 to 41 percent. Against Perdue, Nunn stays ahead 45 to 42, so within the +/- 4 percent margin of error. In both situations, there are still about 12-13 percent of undecided voters or those who would prefer another candidate.
The survey included 750 likely Georgia voters, and was conducted May 21-22, so immediately following the May 20th primary. Click here for more detailed information on Rasmussen Reports website.
Kingston and Perdue are still fighting for the GOP nomination to be decided in a runoff election on July 22nd. Nunn won more than 50 percent of the vote in the Democratic primary so she’s now the official nominee.
Nunn is positioned very well for now, and certainly inspires quite a bit of hope in Democrats, leading in one of the most competitive Senate races of 2014. She will most likely have more money than her eventual Republican challenger, and has plenty of time to travel around the state and meet voters.
However, one might conclude that Nunn’s lead should be more significant at this point. After all, Republicans will rally around the GOP nominee even if they don’t want to hear it at this point. Perdue will most certainly gain some support from Kingston’s voters if he captures the nomination, and vice versa. That alone could tip the race back to Republicans.
In addition, Georgia Democrats have historically had a lower turnout in midterm elections than Republicans. Without President Barack Obama on the ballot, his base might not turn out. Certainly, Democrats need to invest in a very aggressive get out the vote campaign if they want to win in Georgia.