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Quinnipiac poll: Hillary Clinton owns Democratic nod, no clear GOP frontrunner

Quinnipiac University released a new poll this morning that makes one thing perfectly clear: Hillary Clinton, the former U.S. Secretary of State under President Obama, owns the Democratic nomination for President of the United States. The nod is Hillary Clinton's for the asking the poll clearly shows. The poll also clearly shows that the Republican field has no clear frontrunner.

Hillary Rodham Clinton, former United States Secretary of State, U.S. Senator, and First Lady of the United States, speaks during the presentation of the German translation of her book 'Hard Choices' ('Entscheidungen' in German) in Berlin, Germany.
Hillary Rodham Clinton, former United States Secretary of State, U.S. Senator, and First Lady of the United States, speaks during the presentation of the German translation of her book 'Hard Choices' ('Entscheidungen' in German) in Berlin, Germany.Photo by Adam Berry/Getty Images

Hillary Clinton has 58 percent of the vote, and she also tops several possible Republican candidates by margins of 7 to 9 percentage points, according to the Quinnipiac University National Poll. Hillary Clinton leads U.S. Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts with 11 percent margin, Vice President Joseph Biden with a 9 percent margin and New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo with a margin 4 percent. No other candidate tops 1 percent and 15 percent are undecided. However, none of the above are announced candidates and Warren indicated she is "not" running and supporting Hillary Clinton. Biden has not ruled out a run and Cuomo recently gave this nondenial denial: "I'm sorry, I'm losing you. We have a technical difficulty. I'm running for governor of the state of New York." The Cuomo quote according to Fox Business.

It is clear and the poll confirms it, possible candidates are on hold until an announcement from Hillary Clinton, which is expected after the 201`4 midterms.

"Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton takes a ton of heat on wealth, book sales and her legacy at the State Department, but she emerges with no serious Democratic challenger, while the Republican field remains clustered and flustered," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

The GOP primary shows U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky with 11 percent, New Jersey Gov. Christopher Christie, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush with 10 percent each, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker and U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin with 8 percent each, U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio with 6 percent, no other candidate over 3 percent, with 20 percent undecided.

In the 2016 presidential race, American voters back Hillary Clinton over leading Republican contenders:

• 47 – 38 percent over Christie;
• 49 – 40 percent over Paul;
• 49 – 40 percent over Huckabee;
• 48 – 41 percent over former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush;
• 48 – 41 percent over U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin.

The poll calls into question the argument by Republicans that the book tour has not been successful, or that Hillary Clinton is losing popularity. According to USNews.com, in the third week of sales alone, "Hard Choices," sold more copies than Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum’s book ever sold, according to Correct The Record, a pro-Clinton interest group.

Here are some other numbers on "Hard Choices" and how it stacks up against the competition, according to USNews.com. In its first week, “Hard Choices” outsold the combined total sale of books by five potential GOP candidates – including Texas Gov. Rick Perry (27,260), Walker (16,156), Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin (14,727), Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul (10,261) and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (4,599). Clinton sold about 85,000 copies in the first week.

"Hard Choices" has sold more than double the copies of Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s “A Fighting Chance,” which was released in May.

Vice President Joe Biden’s “Promises To Keep” sold just 30,000 copies in 2008 when he ran for president, even less than Warren’s 62,000.

Mitt Romney’s “No Apology”, released in the spring of 2010 before his second White House run, ended up right around the 100,000 mark.

Much of the lowered sales are the change in the book publishing market. Compared to Hillary Clinton's first book, “Living History," there is no comparison. "Living History" became the fourth best-selling political book of the past decade, with over 1.1 million copies sold. However, it is clear, says the New York Times, that the declining sales means Simon & Schuster will probably not sell enough books to make up for Clinton’s advance payment. But foreign sales could make up the difference and turn a small profit for the publisher.

From June 24 - 30, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,446 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.6 percentage points. The survey includes 620 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points and 610 Democrats with a margin of error of 4 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado and the nation as a public service and for research.