With the weather pattern stuck in neutral, no big weather stories are in the immediate future for Long Island. It may take several days before things get kicked into gear and the area says any sort of significant precipitation.
So far, the calendar year has been on the cold side. Some of the coldest temperatures seen in almost a year have hit Long Island, including two days of highs at the freezing mark. The two jet streams, polar and sub-tropical, are far apart. This means weak storms pass to our north, and wetter storms pass to our south. This is called a split flow, and Long Island is in the middle of both, leading to less stormy weather.
This pattern should continue into next week with a couple of hiccups. One is Friday night, where a very weak storm may pass through with a flurry or two. Another comes through Sunday with yet another chance for flurries. Both storms, as of the latest forecast, have little moisture in the atmosphere to work with. The result is a mostly dry forecast right through Tuesday. Highs will fluctuate around 40 until Monday.
After the two weak systems pass through, high pressure builds in nicely for early next week, leading to milder temperatures by Tuesday. Highs in the 40s will be common by the middle of next week. There's inconsistency in the timing of a big storm that comes in either late next week or the weekend, depending on your model of choice. While the consensus is "warm enough for all rain," it's too early to be concerned.
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