Forecast discussion: After a little sunshine during the early parts of Friday morning, increasing clouds rolled into Providence, and we began to experience some showers during the early afternoon. The showers are due to a cold front now passing into western New York and extending south into northern Mississippi. We will continue to see showers throughout the evening, and ending early Saturday morning. However, this will not be the end of the precipitation for the weekend.
We will see a brief lull in the rainfall during Saturday morning. By about noontime, a low pressure system currently over northern Louisiana will follow along the cold front. The warm front associated with this low will remain stationary over Southern New England into Sunday evening. The low will continue to feed on moisture coming off the Atlantic, and we will see moderate to heavy rain. We are expecting the heaviest rainfall from about 5 p.m. Saturday to late Sunday night. The National Weather Service has already put a Flood Watch in effect for 8 p.m. Saturday night to 8 a.m. Monday morning for Providence County. There is the chance of seeing 2 to 4 inches of total rainfall from this system.
Also, due to high tide occurring Sunday morning around 9 a.m. for Narragansett Bay, a Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect for Providence, Kent, Newport, and Bristol Counties from 6 a.m. until 10 a.m. There is the chance of seeing a storm surge between 1 to 2 feet moving into the Bay. This will cause some coastal flooding, especially local roads and possibly some basements.
The low pressure center will slowly move away from the east coast, but we will see scattered showers through Monday. The precipitation will finally come to an end before midnight early Tuesday morning. From there, we will not be seeing April showers as a high pressure ridge over the eastern U.S. brings a drier weather pattern. We will see partly to mostly sunny skies Tuesday through Thursday. A low pressure system developing over the Ohio River Valley may bring a warm front south of Southern New England on Thursday night. We may see more scattered showers from this frontal boundary into next Friday. Temperatures will be warmer, as our highs will be slightly below seasonable, starting on Tuesday.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Overcast with showers ending around 3 a.m. and mild with a low of 42.
Saturday: Cloudy with showers arriving by noon. Showers turn to moderate rain by 6 p.m. We will see a high of 50 with east-northeast winds of 6-9 mph.
Saturday night: Moderate to heavy rain with a low of 39. Winds will increase from the east-northeast at 11-14 mph.
Sunday: Moderate to heavy rain tapering to showers by the early evening. We will see a high of 46.
Sunday night: Showers/light rain continues with a low of 34.
Monday: Scattered showers with a high of 43.
Monday night: Showers ending after midnight with a low of 35.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs 49-52, lows 34-37.
Wednesday: Partly sunny. Highs 51-54, lows 34-37.
Thursday: Partly sunny with possible showers by 9 p.m. Highs 49-52, lows 36-39.
Friday: Scattered showers. Highs 47-50, lows 36-39.