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Providence weather: Warmer, wet weather for Friday

The precipitation shield at 2 p.m. EDT for New England on May 30, 2014
The precipitation shield at 2 p.m. EDT for New England on May 30, 2014
http://www.intellicast.com/National/Precipitation/PrecipCast.aspx?region=hfd

Forecast discussion: After all these years, I am still amazed by how quickly the weather can change when you live in the Providence region. On Memorial Day, we had temperatures in the lower 80’s. When we all woke up this morning, you probably felt the chill in the air. The temperature dropped to 41 degrees. The high temperatures did increase to the middle 60’s with bright sunshine on Thursday. However, we will see some grey skies and more precipitation before we end the weekend with better weather.

High pressure off the east coast of New England gave us a picture perfect day. As we head into this evening, the high will continue to influence the weather, giving us partly cloudy skies. Going into Friday, a low pressure system coming down from eastern Canada will move into Northern New England. It will bring some scattered showers and an isolated thunderstorm by the early afternoon. The front may help create heavier rainfall Friday night, as the front passes through the area. We will see isolated showers through Saturday, before a new high pressure system brings drier air for early Sunday morning.

Our winds will begin to shift from the cold northeast direction to the warm south and southwest direction. This will help increase our high temperatures, as we will reach the lower 70’s on Sunday afternoon. We will keep the dry, sunny weather for part of Monday, but inclement weather will return. A warm front is forecast to move over New England from the west. The front will help bring showers and light rain along it by late Monday night. The computer models at this time are not sure if the front will move south before Wednesday morning. The American model moves the front, but the European model keeps the front over our area into Wednesday evening. This puts more doubt in my forecast for Thursday. A weak disturbance will pass over the area, producing some shower activity for a short period of time from the morning commute into the middle of the afternoon. However, this is the American model’s scenario. But, the front is well south of the region to allow this disturbance to pass into this area.

72 hour forecast:

Tonight: Partly cloudy skies with a low of 47.
Friday: Increasing clouds with scattered showers and a possible thunderstorm by 1 p.m. We will have a high of 68 with south-southeast winds of 7-10 mph.
Friday night: Light rain and isolated thunderstorms with a low of 53. Winds will shift to the north-northeast at 3-7 mph.
Saturday: Cloudy with passing showers and a high of 66.
Saturday night: Isolated showers end by 10 p.m. with clearing skies. We will see a low of 49.
Sunday: Mostly sunny with a high of 71.
Sunday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 52.

Extended Forecast:
Monday: Mostly sunny through the early afternoon, with increasing clouds and rain by 11 p.m. Highs 74-77, lows 56-59.
Tuesday: Overcast with rain/thunderstorms. Highs 70-73, lows 56-59.
Wednesday: Showers end by 5 a.m. with mostly sunny skies. Highs 71-74, lows 56-59.
Thursday: Cloudy by the early morning with scattered showers by the morning commute. Showers quickly dissipate by the middle afternoon. Highs 72-75, lows 52-55.