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Providence weather: Warmer temperatures for Tuesday

The weather map for Southern New England at 2 p.m. EDT on March 11, 2014. Partly sunny skies is expected.
The weather map for Southern New England at 2 p.m. EDT on March 11, 2014. Partly sunny skies is expected.

Forecast discussion: It was a lot cooler than Sunday, as colder air coming down from Canada only gave us temperatures in the lower 40’s for high temperatures. However, Providence will return to spring like temperatures for Tuesday, before a strong storm brings us rain, sleet, and snow Wednesday into Thursday.

High temperature forecast for March 11, 2014

For tonight, we will begin to see warmer air return over the region. This is due to a frontal boundary passing through Northern New England at the moment. The low’s center will remain over Canada, but the warm front will help increase our high temperatures into the lower 50’s, despite limited sunshine. We may see passing drizzle or a spot snow shower in the northern part of the state during the overnight. Otherwise, we will remain mostly dry going into early Wednesday morning. Then, we will be hit with a strong low that will bring a lot of precipitation.

At this time, the computer models continue to agree that the low will track to the south of us, but will continue to remain in the warm sector. So, temperatures will reach the upper 40’s, and the precipitation will start off as showers. The precipitation will become heavier by the evening commute, so we could see isolated street flooding. We could see a half inch to an inch and a half of rainfall before midnight. By early Thursday morning, the cold front will begin to come through, and temperatures will drop quickly. We will see a changeover to sleet mixing with rain by midnight, before changing over to all snow around 4 a.m. However, the snow will be light, and I am not expecting any heavy snowfall amounts. The most an area might see would be about 3 inches by Thursday evening. Then, temperatures will be quite cold Thursday night, as we could be close to breaking an all-time record for low temperature in Providence.

Temperatures will slowly warm up back again during the weekend, with a low pressure system possibly creating some showers for Saturday. It will be quite mild, as temperatures rise into the middle to upper 40’s. But, a cold front behind this low will bring back winter, as temperatures during the day will fall back into the middle 30’s for Monday.

72 hour forecast:

Tonight: Cloudy skies with possible drizzle or snow shower around 2 a.m. to 5 a.m. and a low of 34.
Tuesday: Partly sunny and warmer with a high of 51. Winds will come from the west-northwest at 8-11 mph.
Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy with a low of 35. Winds will shift to the east-southeast and be less than 5 mph.
Wednesday: Cloudy by mid-morning, with showers starting by 11 a.m. Showers will become moderate to heavy rain by the evening commute. Winds will be increasing throughout the afternoon. We will see a high of 47.
Wednesday night: Windy with rain changing over to sleet, rain, and snow around 2 a.m. We will have a low of 25.
Thursday: Windy with light snow tapering off by 2 p.m. before ending around 6 p.m. We will see a high of 27.
Thursday night: Clear skies and breezy with a low of 14.

Extended Forecast:
Friday: Mostly sunny with diminished winds. Highs 35-38, lows 25-28.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with possible showers by the late morning, ending by midnight. Highs 46-49, lows 27-30.
Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 39-42, lows 21-24.
Monday: Mostly cloudy. Highs 34-37, lows 20-23.

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