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Providence weather: Sunny start, rainy finish for Monday

Forecast discussion: High pressure well into the Atlantic has brought a very strong ridge over the east coast. This ridge brought bright sunshine and low humidity to Providence on Sunday. This high will protect us into tonight, but we will see some unsettled weather heading into the new week.

A warm front passing into the Great Lakes will reach New England by late Monday night. The change to southwest winds tomorrow will help increase our dewpoint temperatures. This in point will increase the humidity back into the air by tomorrow night. The warm front may help trigger an isolated shower or thunderstorm.

The warm front will remain to our north and east on Tuesday, helping to bring higher humidity into the area for Tuesday and into Wednesday. We may see high temperatures reach 90 degrees on Tuesday, and into the upper 80’s by Wednesday. It will be slightly cooler due to cloudy skies on Wednesday. Right now, the best risk for strong thunderstorms will be Wednesday, as the cold front inches closer to New England.

The cold front is expected to move offshore by Thursday morning. Right now, the American model is moving the front faster than the European model. So, the timing of the precipitation coming to an end may change over the next couple of days. High pressure will bring mostly sunny skies and cooler temperatures for Friday and Saturday.

After looking over the current models, it appears that our streak of five consecutive weekends of dry weather will come to an end next week. A cold front will be passing into New England next Sunday, helping to create some scattered showers and thunderstorms by the morning.

72 hour forecast:

Tonight: Clear skies and humid with a low of 66.
Monday: Mostly sunny in the morning with increasing afternoon clouds. A scattered shower or thunderstorm is possible by the evening commute. It will become windy with a high of 87. Winds will come from the south-southwest at 15-20 mph.
Monday night: Cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. We will see a low of 71 with south-southwest winds of 8-11 mph.
Tuesday: Partly sunny skies with scattered showers/thunderstorms by the evening commute. We will see a high of 90.
Tuesday night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms with a low of 73.
Wednesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may be strong. We will see a high of 88.
Wednesday night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms with a low of 69.

Extended Forecast:
Thursday: Showers/thunderstorms end by 6 a.m. with partly sunny skies. Highs 84-87, lows 64-67.
Friday: Mostly sunny. Highs 80-83, lows 63-66.
Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 81-84, lows 63-66.
Sunday: Showers/thunderstorms. Highs 80-83, lows 64-67.