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Providence weather: Sunday just as nice as Saturday

The expected temperature for Southern New England at 2 p.m. EDT on June 8, 2014
The expected temperature for Southern New England at 2 p.m. EDT on June 8, 2014
http://www.intellicast.com/National/Temperature/TEMPcast.aspx?region=hfd

Forecast discussion: High pressure was in firm control of our weather in Providence on Saturday. It was one of the warmer days of the year, as T.F. Green Airport in Warwick reported a high of 82 degrees. As we move into the latter half of the weekend, this high will continue to give us beautiful weather, and temperatures may be a few degrees warmer.

As we move into the workweek, the pattern will become cooler and more unsettled. The high pressure center will move offshore, allowing for a frontal boundary over the Mid-South to move to the east. We will also have a cold front now in the western Great Lakes move towards our region. The combination of these two systems means we will see isolated to scattered showers, starting Monday night.

Usually, these type of weather systems move off to the east after a couple of days. However, it appears from the computer models that the systems will linger throughout much of the week. High temperatures will begin to fall into the lower 70’s by Tuesday, thanks mostly in part to consistent showers and possible thunderstorms, especially on Tuesday. Right now, even the long range computer models keep some precipitation in our forecast right into next Saturday.

Right now, it appears that the European model is trying to keep us a little bit drier during the first half of the weekend. The model feels the main cold front will move offshore and give us partly sunny skies on Friday. However, it does agree with the American model that a new cold front brings more precipitation by Saturday. For now, I have great confidence in the forecast up to Thursday. But, because of the disagreement in the models after Thursday night, my confidence in next weekend’s forecast is low.

72 hour forecast:

Tonight: Clear skies with a low of 60.
Sunday: Mostly sunny and a high of 84. Winds will come from the south-southeast at 8-11 mph.
McCoy Stadium Forecast (1:05 p.m. vs. Louisville): Partly cloudy, 80.
Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with a low of 62. Winds will come from the south-southwest at 3-6 mph.
Monday: Cloudy with scattered showers by 7 p.m. We will see a high of 78.
Monday night: Cloudy with isolated showers and a low of 60.
Tuesday: Cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms with a high of 73.
Tuesday night: Isolated showers end by 3 a.m. but remaining mostly cloudy. We will see a low of 59.

Extended Forecast:
Wednesday: Partly sunny with isolated showers by the evening. Highs 72-75, lows 56-59.
Thursday: Cloudy with showers. Highs 72-75, lows 58-61.
Friday: Cloudy with showers/light rain. Highs 71-74, lows 59-62.
Saturday: Cloudy with showers/light rain. Highs 70-73, lows 58-61.