Forecast discussion: High pressure over the Atlantic brought mostly sunny skies and some southwest winds to Providence on Thursday. Temperatures were seasonable, as highs reached the upper 50’s. As we go into tonight, a cold front now passing into the eastern Great Lakes will bring increasing clouds into early Friday morning. We may see some isolated showers by the middle of the morning, with a brief period of dry weather in the afternoon. Some areas may go up to 70 degrees if there is more sunshine than forecast. Another round of showers will move through Friday night, as the frontal boundary passes to our east. We will see isolated showers early Saturday morning, but we should wake up to partial sunshine, with skies clearing through the late morning.
The high over the Central U.S. will control our weather pattern right through the weekend. We may see some more clouds form Sunday evening, as a weak disturbance passes through the region. Otherwise, the high will move into the Atlantic, and the ridge will protect the east coast from a strong cold front forming in the central U.S. Monday afternoon. As the front inches closer, we will see increasing clouds Monday night. You will notice that Monday will be rather warm, as highs will reach the upper 60’s.
As we go into Tuesday, the computer models are still unsure when the front will be coming through Southern New England. The American model believes it will not pass through until Tuesday night. The European model suggests it will be sooner, around Tuesday afternoon. For now, I will remain with the American model, as it has been very consistent in its timing the last two model runs. Thanks to colder air behind the front, the heavy rain may have some rumbles of thunder as well. Once the front passes, a strong high pressure system will bring some very cold air into New England. Temperatures will fall into the lower 50’s for highs on Wednesday, and near 50 degrees next Thursday.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Clear skies give way to increasing clouds after midnight. It will remain breezy with a low of 44.
Friday: Overcast with scattered showers by mid-morning. We will have a high of 65 with west-southwest winds of 9-12 mph. Showers return by sunset.
Friday night: Scattered showers with a low of 45. Winds will shift to the northeast at 3-6 mph.
Saturday: Isolated showers until the early morning, with mostly sunny skies by the late morning. We will see a high of 61.
Saturday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 42.
Sunday: Mostly sunny with a high of 65.
Sunday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 48.
Monday: Mostly sunny with increasing clouds during the evening. Highs 67-70, lows 49-52.
Tuesday: Showers by the early morning, with light rain in the afternoon, and moderate to heavy rain in the evening. Highs 57-60, lows 37-40.
Wednesday: Heavy rain in the early morning, tapering to showers and ending by mid-morning. Sunny skies are expected and much colder during the morning. Highs 49-52, lows 34-37.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-51, lows 35-38.