Forecast discussion: You probably noticed a lot of melting during Thursday, as temperatures hit the upper 40’s in Providence. The warm weather will continue through the weekend, but we must deal with some precipitation for Friday.
The latest radar imagery shows light to moderate rain moving over Rhode Island at the moment. This is due to a warm front crossing through Ohio and West Virginia. We will see moderate to heavy rain during the day, especially during the afternoon hours. This may create street flooding, due to any remaining snowfall clogging storm drains. I would not be surprised if you get an isolated thunderstorm, along with some gusty winds. The rainfall will taper off by the evening, with all precipitation ending around midnight.
As we move into the weekend, a strong high pressure ridge will build over Southern New England from the west. We will have dry weather, but temperatures will begin to slowly decrease. We will have high temperatures remain above freezing, but we will see temperatures below freezing by Sunday night. In fact, isolated snow showers are possible Sunday night into Monday, as some moisture passes through the area, along with a frontal boundary.
By Monday, temperatures will make us remember we are still in winter. Highs will barely get to freezing. Also, I am watching the models very carefully for a coastal low developing Tuesday morning. Right now, a weaker low over New York will help create some snow showers by the middle of the morning on Wednesday. We may see light snow right into Wednesday evening, before ending around early Thursday morning. We will return to dry weather next Thursday.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Light to moderate rain this evening, with patchy fog developing after 3 a.m. We will see a low of 35.
Friday: Moderate to heavy rain with a high of 50. Winds will come from the south-southeast at 10-13 mph. There is the slight chance for thunderstorms, which could produce gusty winds.
Friday night: Rain ends by midnight, with clearing skies the rest of the overnight and a low of 34. Winds will come from the west-southwest at 6-9 mph.
Saturday: Mostly sunny and slightly cooler with a high of 47.
Saturday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 32.
Sunday: Mostly sunny with a high of 44.
Sunday night: Mostly cloudy with passing snow showers and a low of 26.
Monday: Mostly cloudy with isolated snow showers into the late afternoon. Highs 33-36, lows 17-20.
Tuesday: Partly sunny. Highs 29-32, lows 17-20.
Wednesday: Cloudy with light snow by mid-morning. Highs 30-33, lows 17-20.
Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 28-31, lows 14-17.