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Providence weather: Quiet before the storm

The weather map for Southern New England at 8 p.m. EDT for March 25, 2014. Snow showers are possible, with light to moderate snow after midnight.
The weather map for Southern New England at 8 p.m. EDT for March 25, 2014. Snow showers are possible, with light to moderate snow after midnight.

Forecast discussion: Although the calendar says it is almost the end of March, it felt more like winter in Providence on Monday. The low fell to 17 degrees Monday morning, and we only reached a high of 33 degrees. I’m expecting a low temperature Monday night to be the same, but it will be slightly warmer on Tuesday. However, after a partly sunny day, we will be seeing a late Nor’Easter move about 150 miles off the coast of Cape Cod, Massachusetts.

High temperature forecast for March 25, 2014

Right now, the moisture for this low is just passing over Wisconsin, while the low pressure system is developing in the Southeast Gulf of Mexico. The low will move close to the coast of North Carolina by Tuesday morning, where it will pick up some upper level dynamics. The low will move to the north and east while it intensifies. At the moment, only Newport County is in a Winter Storm Watch at the moment, from midnight Wednesday morning until noon. We will begin to see light snow fall after midnight early Wednesday morning. Snow may become light to moderate, and winds will be increasing to 20-25 mph, with gusts as high as 45 mph. Due to the track of the low, I feel north and west of Providence, and down along Interstate 95 will see only 1-3 inches. From Providence south, we will see 2-4 inches. To be honest, I am still not comfortable with the snow totals. If the low wobbles either way another 30 miles, the snow totals change drastically. So, please check back in tomorrow night to see if the forecast has any changes.

By early Wednesday afternoon, the snow will taper off, and winds will diminish into Wednesday evening. High pressure will give us a nice day for Thursday, with some clouds taking over the skies by Thursday night. A cold front will bring a round of showers into the region for Friday, and south winds will help raise our temperatures into the middle 50’s. We will remain cloudy, as a second low pressure system that developed over Arkansas will bring more rainfall for Saturday. Some of the rain may be heavy at times Saturday afternoon. The low will move offshore by the middle of Sunday morning and high pressure ridging will begin to build over us. This will give us partly to mostly sunny skies for the rest of Sunday afternoon and Monday. Temperatures will rebound back into the middle to upper 50’s for highs on Monday afternoon.

72 hour forecast:

Tonight: Clear skies and cold with a low of 17.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny in the morning, with increasing clouds during the late afternoon. We will see a high of 37. Winds will come from the south-southwest at 10-13 mph.
Tuesday night: Light to moderate snow by 1 a.m. with increasing winds and a low of 26. Winds will increase from the north-northeast at 12-15 mph by sunrise. Gusts could reach up to 40 mph.
Wednesday: Windy with light to moderate snow. Snow ends by 4 p.m. We will see 1-3 inches north and west of Providence along I-95. The rest of the state will see 2-4 inches. We will see a high of 39.
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 20.
Thursday: Mostly sunny with a high of 42.
Thursday night: Becoming cloudy during the overnight with a low of 32.

Extended Forecast:
Friday: Cloudy with showers arriving by 7 a.m. but ends by 9 p.m. Highs 52-55, lows 43-46.
Saturday: Cloudy skies with showers arriving by noon. Moderate to heavy rain is possible by the mid-afternoon. Highs 54-57, lows 35-38.
Sunday: Rain tapers to showers after midnight. It will be breezy with showers expected to end by 9 a.m. and becoming partly sunny. Highs 48-51, lows 32-35.
Monday: Mostly sunny. Highs 54-57, lows 34-37.

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