Forecast discussion: Let’s face it; it’s been a long winter. So far this year, Providence has received 38.1 inches of snow. The normal snowfall total for this time of the year is actually 24.2 inches. So, yes, we have received more than a foot more this year. Sadly, we will be adding to that total by Tuesday night.
Right now, high pressure over New England will bring a few more hours of clear skies. Then, a low pressure system over Indiana will bring increasing clouds after midnight. The morning commute for Tuesday looks cloudy, but dry. However, I am expecting light snow to begin falling over southern Rhode Island by about 10 a.m. Due to this system a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for Kent and Providence Counties only from 7 a.m. Tuesday until 8 p.m. The snowfall will move into Providence before noon. The heaviest snow will occur into the early start of the evening commute. By 8 p.m., all the snow should end, as the low moves quickly out to sea. Providence itself will see 2-4 inches, while extreme northwest Rhode Island will see 4-6 inches. To view your city and town on a snowfall map, click here.
A warm front behind the low will slowly move towards Rhode Island on Wednesday. However, this front will actually help lift our daytime temperatures above 40 degrees. Also, any precipitation we will see on Wednesday afternoon will be rain only. However, we may wake up to some black ice on the roads Wednesday night and early Thursday morning, as temperatures fall below freezing. However, we will continue to see this thaw continue into Friday afternoon. We will see some heavy rain on Friday, as a cold front works its way through Southern New England.
Looking at the weekend, once the cold front passes through, we will return to some cooler temperatures. However, the newest computer models suggest dry weather for the weekend. Temperatures will also stay above freezing during the day, meaning more melting. But, the chance for some more snow returns by Monday night, as a low pressure system south of the area moves out to sea.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Increasing clouds after 3 a.m. and a low of 16.
Tuesday: Light snow by the end of the morning commute, with moderate to heavy snow through the afternoon. The south coast will see a mix or change to rain. We will see a high of 37 with southeast winds of 12-16 mph.
Tuesday night: Snow ends around 8 p.m. Snowfall amounts include 4-6 inches in extreme northwest Rhode Island, with 2-4 inches into Providence and Kent County. The rest of the state sees a coating to 2 inches. Mostly cloudy with a low of 26 with winds shifting to the west at 7-10 mph.
Wednesday: Cloudy with showers arriving by noon and might mix with snow after the evening commute. We will see a high of 44.
Wednesday night: Precipitation ends by 10 p.m. with clearing skies and a low of 30.
Thursday: Mostly sunny with a high of 47.
Thursday night: Mostly cloudy with a low of 35.
Friday: Cloudy with showers/light rain around 2 a.m. and ending by the evening. Highs 49-52, lows 32-35.
Saturday: Partly to mostly sunny and cooler. Highs 42-45, lows 27-30.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-41, lows 25-28.
Monday: Cloudy with possible light snow. Highs 35-38, lows 24-27.