Forecast discussion: Providence received mostly cloudy to overcast skies for most of Sunday. We did see the sunshine come out by the late afternoon, but the clouds blocked the sunshine once again by 6:00 p.m. Despite a high pressure ridge building overhead, we will continue to see mostly cloudy skies for this evening.
The high will give us more clouds than sun on Monday, but weaker winds from the north will allow our temperatures to rise closer to normal. Some parts of Rhode Island will reach the lower 60’s for daytime highs. We will continue to see dry conditions into Tuesday morning. There is the slight chance of a passing shower during Tuesday afternoon. However, we will see wet weather for Wednesday and Thursday.
The rainfall will come from a low pressure system now centered over northwest Nebraska. This system has created severe weather from Minnesota down to Tennessee. As of writing this article, a confirmed tornado on the ground was heading towards Joplin, MO. This is the same city that was hit by an EF5 tornado on May 22, 2011. Now, we will not see any severe weather once the low moves east, but we will see some heavier rainfall by Wednesday night. The low’s center will get blocked, and move back into the Great Lakes. Meanwhile, the cold front will carry a series of low pressure systems along it and into the Northeast U.S. We could see up to a total of an inch and a half of rain before it all ends early Friday morning.
A weak high pressure ridge will bring us some sunshine for Friday afternoon. Also, temperatures will finally stay in the lower to middle 60’s into the weekend. However, the main low staying over the Great Lakes will finally get pushed eastward by an upper level trough. We may see isolated showers Saturday morning, and continuing into Sunday morning. By this time, the low will have moved offshore, allowing for a high pressure ridge to build over the region. We will end next weekend with some sunshine by Sunday afternoon.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a low of 40.
Monday: Partly sunny with a high of 59. Winds will come from the north at 10-13 mph.
Monday night: Mostly cloudy to overcast skies. We will see a low of 43 with north-northeast winds of 9-12 mph.
Tuesday: Overcast skies with isolated showers developing by the late morning. We will have a high of 52.
Tuesday night: Steadier showers/light rain begins by midnight with a low of 41.
Wednesday: Showers and light rain with a high of 49.
Wednesday night: Rain becomes heavier by 3 a.m. with a low of 43.
Thursday: Moderate to heavy rain with possible thunderstorms by the late morning. Precipitation tapers to showers by the late afternoon. Highs 58-61, lows 49-52.
Friday: Showers/light rain ends around 4 a.m. with partly to mostly sunny skies by the afternoon. Highs 63-66, lows 46-49.
Saturday: Cloudy by mid-morning, with possible showers by the late morning. Highs 62-65, lows 47-50.
Sunday: Isolated showers end in the morning, with partly sunny skies. Highs 60-63, lows 45-48.