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Providence weather: Heavy rain Tuesday morning

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Forecast discussion: Providence started with a little sunshine on Monday morning, but eventually cloudy conditions took over the skies by noon. We are awaiting some showers to hit Rhode Island, as the latest radar imagery shows showers just making its way into the southwest part of the state. Eventually, showers will engulf the state, with heavier rain and even an isolated rumble of thunder during the overnight. The heavy rain will taper off Tuesday morning, before we see showers come to an end by the late morning. Partial sunshine is expected by the mid-afternoon, helping to raise our temperatures to near 60 degrees.

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The primary low will move off into eastern Canada by Tuesday night, with high pressure in the Rockies bringing a ridge into New England. This will give us sunny skies for Wednesday, along with comfortable temperatures. Due to clear skies and calm winds, low temperatures will be near freezing Wednesday night. We will return to a second day of sunshine, but increasing clouds Thursday night will help keep temperatures almost 10 degrees warmer.
As we head into Friday, a very weak cold front will pass through Southern New England. There is the chance for some showers along the front through the day, as the front stalls just to the south of the region. High pressure will slowly kick this front out by Saturday afternoon. If there is no precipitation, we can expect just limited sunshine. High pressure will bring drier air, allowing for sunny skies on Sunday.

As we look into early next week, the long range computer models are beginning to disagree. That strong high pressure on Sunday moves over the Canadian Maritimes on Monday. However the strong ridge protects the Northeast U.S. from a couple of low pressure systems bringing some possible heavy rain to the Ohio and Tennessee River Valleys. However, the American model has the ridge weaken, allowing for showers to develop Monday night. For now, I will keep evening showers in the forecast, until I begin to see some continuity from the models.

72 hour forecast:

Tonight: Showers developing by 8 p.m., with heavy rain by 10 p.m. Patchy fog developing after midnight. We will see a low of 46.
Tuesday: Moderate to heavy rain, before tapering to showers by mid-morning. Showers end by the late morning with partial sunshine in the mid-afternoon. We will see a high of 61 with southwest winds of 11-14 mph.
McCoy Stadium Forecast (6:15 p.m. vs. Syracuse): Partly sunny, 58.
Tuesday night: Partly cloudy before dawn and a low of 42. Winds will come from the west at 8-11 mph.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny with a high of 56.
Wednesday night: Clear skies and colder with a low of 33.
Thursday: Mostly sunny with a high of 56.
Thursday night: Increasing clouds through the overnight with a low of 44.

Extended Forecast:
Friday: Overcast with possible showers arriving by the late morning. Highs 60-63, lows 41-44.
Saturday: Partly sunny with possible showers ending by the late afternoon. Highs 58-61, lows 39-42.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 60-63, lows 43-46.
Monday: Increasing clouds with possible showers by 9 p.m. Highs 66-69, lows 46-49.

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