Forecast discussion: A cold front to our west helped bring showers and some light rain to Providence on Friday, along with some strong winds, due to a tight pressure gradient. However, the high to our east continued to move away, allowing for the gradient to weaken. This helped diminish winds by the late afternoon. The cold front will be hanging offshore this evening, and will help keep showers in the forecast for Saturday. However, I believe the south coast, along with the Block Island, will see the most shower activity. The sun will return by the early afternoon, and temperatures will remain mild.
However, once a second cold front passes through tomorrow night, temperatures will be getting colder. A shot of colder air from Canada will move over New England, as our temperatures only reach the upper 40’s to near 50 on Sunday and Monday. However, this cold weather will be short lived. An upper level ridge will begin to move over the east coast by mid-week. This will allow warmer air from the south to make its way into Southern New England.
By Wednesday, temperatures will be well above normal for early November, as we will see highs in the 60’s Wednesday and Thursday. However, like all good things, it must come to an end. By Thursday, a strong cold front will move into New England, and will bring showers and light rain by Thursday night. At this time, the computer models disagree on the actual timing of the front. The showers will end by Friday morning, with colder air returning to the region.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Partly cloudy with a low of 50.
Saturday: Increasing clouds by 4 a.m., with isolated showers during the morning. Some sunshine expected by the early afternoon. We will see a high of 65 with winds turning to the south-southwest at 4-7 mph.
Saturday night: Becoming cloudy with isolated showers and a low of 44. Winds will come from the northwest at 5-8 mph.
Sunday: Showers end by the early morning, with partly to mostly sunny skies and a high of 50.
Sunday night: Clear skies and cold with a low of 31.
Monday: Sunny and cool with the high only reaching 47.
Monday night: Clear skies with a low of 29.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny and warmer. Highs 50-53, lows 39-42.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny and milder. Highs 61-64, lows 45-48.
Thursday: Overcast with showers/rain developing by sunset. Highs 65-68, lows 41-44.
Friday: Showers end by the early morning, becoming mostly sunny. Highs 51-54, lows 34-37.