Forecast discussion: After a quiet Monday, a weak disturbance along a frontal boundary will pass over the Delmarva Peninsula early tomorrow morning. This disturbance will help trigger some ocean snow showers near midnight. However, based on the location of the moisture, it looks that the area south of Richmond will see any snowfall at all. It will only be a dusting to half an inch, although it may help make the roads a little slippery.
Any snow showers will continue through Tuesday, before ending before the start of the evening commute. However, the frontal boundary will remain over the Delmarva Peninsula as we head into early Wednesday morning. Another low pressure system will move south of our area, and we will see another round of light snow showers. However, we will only see the snow showers until the morning.
A strong high pressure ridge will give us some dry weather on Thursday, before we will see another low pressure system come close to New England. However, the computer models are all in disagreement of what to do with this low. The American model does not develop the low until Friday morning, off the coast of South Carolina. The European model has the low coming off the coast of North Carolina. Meanwhile, the United Kingdom model has the low off of Long Island and intensifying. If this model pans out, we would see heavy precipitation, in the forms of rain and snow. Finally, the Canadian model actually develops the low over northern New York, which would keep us in the warm sector of the system. This means we would see nothing but rain. For now, I will keep some snow and rain showers in the forecast, with minimal accumulations of snow.
We will see good weather over the weekend, as temperatures fall into the lower 40’s. There is the chance of a strong low moving over New England on Monday, giving us some decent rainfall.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Cloudy with some snow showers, especially along the coastline. I am only expecting a dusting from Richmond south. We will see a low of 19.
Tuesday: Light snow showers in the morning, ending by the start of the evening commute. I expect a high of 30, with northeast winds at 5-8 mph.
Tuesday night: Cloudy with flurries and a low of 24. Winds will come from the northeast at 3-6 mph.
Wednesday: Scattered snow showers starting in the morning with a high of 40. Accumulations will only be a dusting before we see sunny skies in the early afternoon.
Wednesday night: Becoming partly cloudy with a low of 20.
Thursday: Mostly sunny with a high of 35.
Thursday night: Partly to mostly cloudy with a low of 27.
Friday: Cloudy with a mix of snow and rain showers by late morning. Highs 39-42, lows 23-26.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs 34-37, lows 21-24.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 40-43, lows 29-32.
Monday: Showers/light rain. Highs 43-46, lows 32-35.