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Providence weather forecast for Dec. 16, 2013

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Forecast discussion: After several hours of snow, sleet, freezing rain, and rain, the storm moved into the Gulf of Maine by Sunday afternoon. We did not receive the higher amounts in northern Rhode Island, as the precipitation changed from snow right over to rain. But, Cumberland and Burriville received just over 6 inches of snow.

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We will now see some dry weather for the next 36 hours. A weak high pressure ridge from the southwest will give us mostly sunny skies for tomorrow. However, an Arctic front will be swinging through Monday evening. This will help create some windy conditions tomorrow afternoon, and wind chills will make it feel like the lower teens during the afternoon. Overnight lows will barely stay in double digits, as the front passes through, and winds diminish.

By Tuesday, a low pressure system will be forming off of Long Island. This low will help bring some snow showers and light snow by the early afternoon. We will see a brief period of snow free weather, as the low moves out to sea. But, a new low from Ohio will bring the next round of snow showers Tuesday night. Snow showers will end by Wednesday morning. As of right now, 3 inches of snow is possible across much of the state, with 1-2 inches along the coastline.

We will see warmer air slowly move back up into New England Thursday night into Friday, as our winds turn to the southwest. By Friday, the long range computer models suggest a series of low pressure systems will ride a frontal boundary through the weekend. We will see more rain than snow or wintry precipitation at this time, thanks to the southwest winds. We may see precipitation right into the morning of Christmas Eve, according to the American model. However, my confidence overall after Friday is low, as the models all disagree on when the low over Texas forms, and when the precipitation reaches Rhode Island.

72 hour forecast:

Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy skies with a low of 20.
Monday: Mostly sunny and windy with a high of 26. Winds will come from the west-northwest at 14-17 mph. Wind chills will make it feel like the lower teens.
Monday night: Mostly cloudy after midnight and a low of 11. Winds will come from the west-northwest at 5-9 mph.
Tuesday: Overcast with snow showers by the early afternoon. I’m expecting a high of 28.
Tuesday night: Scattered snow showers with a low of 17. There may be a brief period of dry weather from 9 p.m. through midnight.
Wednesday: Scattered snow showers until mid-morning, but becoming partly sunny by the afternoon. We will see a high of 33. We may see up to 3 inches of snowfall by Wednesday morning.
Wednesday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 20.

Extended Forecast:
Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs 34-37, lows 25-28.
Friday: Overcast by the early afternoon with rain showers by the early afternoon. Highs 46-49, lows 36-39.
Saturday: Rain/showers ending by the early morning, but remaining cloudy with showers returning by the late afternoon. Precipitation may turn to snow during the overnight. Highs 42-45, lows 30-33.
Sunday: Rain/showers. Highs 43-46, lows 32-35.

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