Note: Due to a previous engagement, there will be no new forecast on the evening of Monday, August 26th. I will have a new forecast by Tuesday afternoon for the rest of Tuesday, putting me back on schedule. I apologize in advance for any inconvenience upon my readers.
Forecast discussion: A strong high pressure system moving off the coast of Maryland gave Providence another beautiful late summer day. However, we will begin to see an unsettled weather pattern moving over Southern New England, giving us a cloudy and wet next few days ahead.
The strong high will begin to move into the Atlantic this evening. A warm front moving north of the Great Lakes will move into parts of Northern New England on Monday. This front will help create some isolated showers and thunderstorms by the early afternoon. A weak cold front behind the warm front will help provide the area with more heavy precipitation possible early Tuesday morning. Along this front, a series of weak low pressure systems will form. The lows will help provide us with the heaviest precipitation for Wednesday. The cold front will finally move off to the east by early Thursday morning, although a passing shower remains possible during the early afternoon.
As we approach the weekend, a strong high pressure system will build down from eastern Canada, and provide us with some nice weather for the first half of the Labor Day weekend. However, the computer models are disagreeing on what to do with a cold front that comes down from Canada for early next week. The American model wants to bring some showers and possible thunderstorms by Monday afternoon. The European model keeps the heaviest precipitation over Northern New England, with just a passing shower for Monday, as the front stays further north. For now, I will keep more clouds than sunshine for Sunday, until I see more consistency in the models on how they handle the cold front.
Finally, Tropical Storm Fernand developed in the southern Bay of Campeche this afternoon. However, the system is already very close to the Mexican coast. As of 7 p.m. EDT, Fernand was centered at 19.2N 95.8W, or about 25 miles east of Vera Cruz, Mexico. Maximum sustained winds were at 45 mph, and was moving west-northwest at 9 mph. The center will be inland within the next 12 hours, and the system will dissipate over land. However, the computer models suggest the low will re-form in about two to three days, once it reaches the Pacific side of the country. It is most likely the system will be re-named.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy skies with a low of 64.
Monday: Becoming overcast and breezy with scattered showers/thunderstorms by the early afternoon. We will see a high of 79 with southwest winds of 13-16 mph.
McCoy Stadium Forecast (7:05 p.m. vs. Scranton Wilkes-Barre): Overcast, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, 73.
Monday night: Overcast with scattered showers and thunderstorms with a low of 66. Patchy fog will develop, especially along the coast. Winds will come from the west-southwest at 4-7 mph.
Tuesday: Overcast skies with isolated showers and thunderstorms and a high of 82.
Tuesday night: Overcast with isolated showers. Periods of rain is expected after midnight with a low of 68.
Wednesday: Overcast with scattered showers, thunderstorms, and periods of rain with a high of 79. Precipitation ends by the end of the evening commute.
Wednesday night: Mostly cloudy with a low of 68.
Thursday: Partly sunny with a passing shower by the early afternoon and more humid. Precipitation ends by midnight. Highs 79-82, lows 63-66.
Friday: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-81, lows 60-63.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-81, lows 61-64.
Sunday: Partly sunny. Highs 80-83, lows 62-65.