Forecast discussion: A cold front moving through western New York at the moment helped create a few passing showers over Rhode Island. In fact, Barrington had an isolated thunderstorm this afternoon, with some minor street flooding. We may still see a passing shower or thunderstorm into tomorrow, but skies will clear out in time for the weekend.
The cold front will pass through New England by early Friday morning, so we may see some more passing showers or thunderstorms through the overnight hours. Despite the front moving through the region by the late morning, it will stall just offshore for part of the afternoon. So, do not be surprised to see a lingering shower or thunderstorm during the mid to late afternoon.
By Friday night, a strong high pressure system over northern Minnesota will bring drier, cooler air over Southern New England. We will feel the difference over the weekend, as temperatures during the day reach the upper 70’s to near 80, and lows fall into the upper 50’s. The good weather will last into most of Monday, until we begin to see an unsettled weather pattern shaping up for the first few days of school.
A series of weak low pressure systems will pass through the Northeast from time to time from Monday night into Thursday. We may see a few passing showers starting early Tuesday morning. The precipitation will not be continuous, so showers will be off and on throughout the day. We will see cloudy skies for kids as they arrive at the bus stop or walk to school on Wednesday. They may be greeted with some passing showers by the time the bell rings in the afternoon. By Thursday, the computer models suggest another weak low pressure system bringing another round of precipitation by the late morning. However, the European model keeps us relatively dry. Right now, my confidence in Thursday’s forecast is quite low, due to the differences in the forecast between the models.
Finally, as the Atlantic Ocean remains quiet of any tropical formation, the Pacific Ocean is seeing the ninth tropical system of the year. Tropical Depression Nine-E will move in a north-northwest track, and only strengthen to winds around the center at about 45 mph. However, it will reach cooler waters near Baja California, and begin to weaken into a remnant low by Sunday afternoon.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Overcast with isolated showers or thunderstorms. Patchy fog will be along the coast before moving inland. We will see a low of 66.
Friday: More clouds than sunshine with a passing shower or thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon. We will see a high of 84 with winds increasing from the north at 12-15 mph.
Friday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 59. Winds will come from the north at 5-8 mph.
Saturday: Mostly sunny with a high of 79.
Saturday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 56.
Sunday: Mostly sunny with a high of 80.
Sunday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 60.
Monday: Mostly sunny through the day, with increasing evening clouds. Highs 78-81, lows 63-66.
Tuesday: Overcast skies with isolated showers and thunderstorms starting in the early morning. Highs 79-82, lows 63-66.
Wednesday: Overcast with isolated showers/thunderstorms by the afternoon. Highs 77-80, lows 64-67.
Thursday: Overcast with scattered showers/thunderstorms and more humid. Highs 78-81, lows 65-68.