Forecast discussion: High pressure moving over western Michigan at the moment brought Providence a nice Sunday, mixed with sunshine and some clouds. The next few days will be dry, as this high will protect us from any storm systems, as well as a snowstorm to our south.
Currently, a low pressure system is centered over Alabama. It will bring rain, snow, and ice to New Jersey south to North Carolina, and as far west as northern Arkansas. Over the last few days, the models made it appear we would be seeing some snow from this system. However, the high is going to moving east, and will keep the precipitation from moving further north. There is a chance that Block Island and the south coast sees some flurries Monday morning, but a coating of snow is all they will see by the evening commute. Otherwise, it will remain cold, as temperatures will not make it to 30 degrees.
The high will begin to move out to sea by Wednesday, allowing for the winds to turn back to the south. This will allow warmer air to return into New England, as highs on Wednesday increase into the middle 40’s. A low pressure system will bring some showers by the evening commute on Wednesday, and will remain rain into Wednesday night. The boundary will move offshore by Thursday morning, and we will have limited sunshine.
A new low pressure system in the central U.S. will bring a frontal boundary right into Rhode Island Friday night. We will see some possible showers during the evening commute, and there may be enough cold air aloft to turn the precipitation to snow showers Saturday evening. The precipitation will change to rain by the middle of Saturday morning, and end by the early evening. The cold front will help bring some cooler air over the area next Sunday, as our highs only reach the upper 30’s to lower 40’s.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Mostly cloudy and cold with a low of 15.
Monday: Mostly cloudy and breezy at first, then becoming mostly sunny. There is a chance for flurries for Block Island and the south coast by 9 a.m. Snow flurries end by 5 p.m. with just a coating possible. We will have a high of 28 with north-northeast winds of 12-15 mph.
Monday night: Clear skies and cold with a low of 13. Winds will come from the north and diminish to 4-7 mph.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny with a high of 37.
Tuesday night: Increasing clouds towards dawn with a low of 25.
Wednesday: Milder with mostly cloudy skies with rain showers by 5 p.m. We will see a high of 45.
Wednesday night: Showers and a low of 37.
Thursday: Showers end by 9 a.m. with partly sunny skies. Highs 51-54, lows 31-34.
Friday: Partly sunny by the afternoon, with possible showers by the evening commute. Highs 46-49, lows 31-34.
Saturday: Snow showers from midnight until mid-morning, then changing to rain showers. Showers end by the early evening. Highs 47-50, lows 28-31.
Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 39-42, lows 22-25.