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Providence weather: Cloudy with a thaw on Saturday

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Forecast discussion: Despite high pressure just leaving the coast of North Carolina, a frontal boundary over Northern New England kept cloud cover over most of Providence. We did see some sunshine from the late morning to early afternoon, before clouds controlled the skies for the rest of Friday.

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This cloud cover will help keep temperatures warmer this evening, as the clouds act like a blanket, and keeps the sun’s energy from escaping into the atmosphere. Some sunshine will break through the clouds on Saturday, and this will help temperatures rise into the lower 40’s. By Saturday night, a cold front extending from the Ohio River Valley into eastern Texas will move towards the east coast. We will see some isolated showers early Sunday morning, with more scattered showers by the afternoon. With winds from the south, we will see temperatures rise into the upper 40’s. Once the cold front passes through the state, temperatures will fall back into the upper 20’s.

On Monday, a weak disturbance over North Carolina will bring moisture up into Southern New England. We will see some light snow reach the state, but it appears the coastline will see the highest snowfall totals. Inland areas will see light snow from the mid-morning into the late afternoon. The precipitation shield moves into the Atlantic Monday night, with clearing skies.

The computer models agree that high pressure will bring dry weather on Tuesday, while they also agree a developing area of low pressure will bring some heavy precipitation to New England on Wednesday. However, the models disagree on the low’s track, and whether a secondary low forms, and becomes the main low by Wednesday afternoon. At this time, it appears we will start off as light snow, before changing to sleet or freezing rain a few hours later. By the early afternoon, we will see the precipitation change over to all rain. The precipitation will end as some snow showers in the late evening, before all precipitation ends before midnight Thursday morning. I will continue to monitor this situation, and keep you updated on any changes to the forecast.

By Thursday, some colder air behind the storm system will move back into New England. We will see dry weather into next Friday, but it will be cold once again during the overnight hours. The long range models are predicting low temperatures will fall back into the lower to middle teens.

72 hour forecast:

Tonight: Mostly cloudy and not as cold with a low of 29.
Saturday: Partly sunny skies with a high of 43. Winds will shift to the south-southeast at 4-7 mph by the afternoon.
Saturday night: Mostly cloudy skies with a low of 35. Winds will come from the south-southwest at 6-9 mph.
Sunday: Isolated showers by dawn become scattered by the afternoon. Precipitation will end by 5 p.m. We will see a high of 48.
Sunday night: Partly to mostly cloudy skies and colder with the low falling to 27.
Monday: Cloudy with a chance for light snow, especially along the south coast, by mid-morning. We will see a high of 36.
Monday night: Snow showers end by 7 p.m. along the south coast. Partly cloudy skies before midnight expected. We will see a low of 23.

Extended Forecast:
Tuesday: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 35-38, lows 26-29.
Wednesday: Light snow by 4 a.m. changing to a wintry mix by mid-morning. A complete changeover to rain is expected by the early afternoon. Precipitation could change back to snow showers before all precipitation ends before midnight. Highs 36-39, lows 21-24.
Thursday: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 27-30, lows 12-15.
Friday: Mostly sunny. Highs 24-27, lows 12-15.

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