Forecast discussion: High pressure ridging brought sunshine to Providence through Monday morning, but easterly winds from a low pressure system in the Atlantic brought clouds back over the state by the mid-afternoon. Now, we will be between two low pressure systems, and the one from the west will bring substantial rainfall by midweek.
The low centered over western Iowa brought severe weather over the last few days. Right now, 20 people are dead and many people are still missing as tornadoes spawned through Arkansas, Oklahoma, and Iowa. There are severe thunderstorms passing through Mississippi at the moment, and some have spawned a few tornadoes. You can read more about it by clicking here.
For Southern New England, we will not have the severe weather they are seeing. However, by Tuesday night, the cold front will bring some heavy rain by Wednesday. The heavy rainfall will continue into Wednesday night into Thursday morning, as a new low pressure system rides up the cold front into the Northeast U.S. The computer models are predicting an inch and a half to as much as three inches of rain by early Friday morning. The heavier amounts are due to isolated thunderstorms. There is the chance of some street flooding, due to poor drainage. But, as the warm front pushes through early Friday morning, temperatures will actually reach seasonable conditions.
We are expecting dry weather for most of the weekend, as the front moves offshore, and weak high pressure ridging moves over Southern New England. There is the chance of some spot showers, due to the daytime heating. However, the main center that created all this weather will finally push through the Northeast on Sunday. We will see the risk of some scattered showers by the late afternoon, but should end before midnight. We will see mostly sunny skies by next Monday.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Overcast skies with a low of 43.
Tuesday: Overcast skies and windy with sprinkles during the day. We will have a high of 49 with northeast winds of 14-18 mph.
Tuesday night: Steadier showers/light rain begins by 10 p.m. with a low of 41. Winds will come from the northeast at 10-13 mph.
Wednesday: Rain by mid-morning with isolated thunderstorms and a high of 49.
Wednesday night: Rain, heavy at times, with isolated thunderstorms with a low of 45.
Thursday: Heavy rainfall tapers off through the day with a high near 62.
Thursday night: Showers/light rain ends around 3 a.m. and a low of 49.
Friday: Partly to mostly sunny skies. Highs 62-65, lows 46-49.
Saturday: Partly sunny. Highs 61-64, lows 46-49.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with showers arriving around 3 p.m. Showers end by 11 p.m. Highs 60-63, lows 45-48.
Monday: Mostly sunny. Highs 58-61, lows 43-46.