Forecast discussion: A low pressure system stuck around New England a little longer than the computer models had forecast. So, Providence received some more showers and light rain after 10:30 a.m. Also, parts of central Rhode Island saw heavy rain, some isolated thunderstorms, and lightning. One bolt actually did do some damage in Warwick. Now, the low is moving into the sea, and high pressure ridging is trying to build in from the Great Lakes.
Over the next 36 hours, the pressure gradient between the incoming high and the outgoing low will create strong northwest winds tonight and through Thursday. As the high pressure center moves closer, winds will diminish, especially by Thursday night. Thanks to the colder winds, high temperatures will only reach the upper 50’s. We will see mostly sunny skies early on Friday, but clouds will once again take over the skies by Friday night. We should see a high on Friday near 60 degrees.
By Friday night, an incoming cold front will deliver some scattered showers before midnight. As we head into Saturday, the front will move offshore, but the low’s center will actually become blocked from moving to the east. Moisture will work to the backside of the low on Saturday, giving us showers and periods of light rain at times. By Saturday night, the low will be able to move off to the east, and we will see slowly clearing skies going into Sunday.
We will see dry weather to end the weekend, with mostly sunny skies to start the new workweek, with students returning to school. We will continue to see dry weather into Tuesday morning. By then, a new cold front will bring some isolated showers by the evening commute. However, this storm system will be sticking around for a few days. The low will meet with an upper level low and gain strength into next Wednesday. The surface low will remain quasi-stationary, giving us some decent rainfall throughout next Wednesday and into next Thursday.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Partly cloudy skies after midnight and breezy with a low of 38.
Thursday: Mostly sunny but windy with a high of 58. Winds will come from the northwest at 20-25 mph with occasional gusts of 35 mph.
McCoy Stadium Forecast (12:05 p.m. vs. Rochester): Sunny and windy, 57.
Thursday night: Partly cloudy with diminishing winds and a low of 38. Winds will come from the northwest at 8-11 mph.
Friday: Sunny through the morning, but partly sunny by the late afternoon. We will see a high of 60.
Friday night: Cloudy with scattered showers by 11 p.m. and a low of 43.
Saturday: Showers with intermittent rain and a high of 60.
Saturday night: Precipitation ends by 9 p.m. with clearing skies and a low of 45.
Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 57-60, lows 40-43.
Monday: Mostly sunny. Highs 57-60, lows 40-43.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny through mid-morning, with increasing clouds and possible showers by 4 p.m. Highs 57-60, lows 43-46.
Wednesday: Showers/light rain the entire day. Highs 55-58, lows 44-47.