Forecast discussion: A strong ridge of high pressure brought Providence the kind of weather you want to store in a bottle when January arrives. You could not have asked for a perfect day of bright sunshine, low humidity, and seasonable temperatures. The only fly in the ointment was the strong northwest winds, which kept our high temperatures in the upper 70’s.
As we move into the weekend, the weather pattern will remain quiet. The strong high pressure ridge will remain in place, and we will continue to see great weather. Temperatures during the day may slowly climb into the lower 80’s, with the slight chance of a sea breeze developing during the afternoon along the shore.
As we head into Wednesday, our perfect weather will come to an end. A slow moving cold front will work its way towards Southern New England. At this time, the computer models disagree on the speed of the front. The American and United Kingdom models have the front giving us some showers and possible thunderstorms starting Wednesday afternoon. However, the American model also keeps the front stalled through Thursday, before the front pulls away into the Atlantic by late Thursday night. The European model moves the front through the area by Thursday afternoon, with clearing skies by Thursday night.
For now, I will go with the American model’s forecast, as the model has been a little more consistent with the scenario than the European. However, I would not be surprised if I have to change the timing of the precipitation. I am sure the models will get a better handle on the situation by Sunday afternoon’s model run.
72 hour forecast:
Tonight: Clear skies with a low of 53.
Saturday: Mostly sunny with a high of 77. Winds will shift to the south at 7-10 mph by the afternoon.
Saturday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 54. Winds will come from the west-northwest at 3-6 mph.
Sunday: Mostly sunny with a high of 80.
Sunday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 58.
Monday: Mostly sunny with a high of 81.
Monday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 61.
Tuesday: Partly to mostly sunny. Highs 79-82, lows 61-64.
Wednesday: Cloudy skies by morning, with isolated showers/thunderstorms by the mid-afternoon. Highs 80-83, lows 63-66.
Thursday: Cloudy with scattered showers/thunderstorms. Highs 79-82, lows 62-65.
Friday: Showers end by the early morning, and becoming mostly sunny. Highs 78-81, lows 58-61.