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Providence weather: A great Father's Day

The expected temperature for Southern New England at 2 p.m. EDT on June 15, 2014
The expected temperature for Southern New England at 2 p.m. EDT on June 15, 2014
http://www.intellicast.com/National/Temperature/TEMPcast.aspx?region=hfd

Forecast discussion: As expected, a warm front passed off to our east on Saturday afternoon, helping to flare up some heavy downpours and isolated thunderstorms over Plymouth County in Massachusetts. For us in Providence, a light shower in the morning was about it. As the afternoon passed, we began to see clearing skies, with clear skies before sunset. High pressure will begin to build over New England for the next few days.

So, Father’s Day looks gorgeous, with low humidity, brilliant sunshine, and summerlike temperatures. So, any outdoor plans can go on as scheduled. The good weather will continue into Sunday evening, with sunshine for the first half of the day on Monday. As we go into Monday afternoon, we will begin to see cloud cover take over the skies. This is due to an approaching cold front now over the Central U.S.

The cold front will bring some isolated to scattered showers by the middle of Tuesday morning. We will remain with some showers until Tuesday night. The computer models indicate a slight lull between rain drops as some more showers will fire up by sunrise Wednesday morning. We will see the precipitation end by early Thursday morning.

The computer models begin to disagree on whether we will see a return of some showers Thursday afternoon. A weak disturbance passes through Southern New England by the afternoon. But, the European model does not see the same amount of moisture in our atmosphere. So, right now, my confidence in Thursday’s forecast is low. However, the models do agree that Friday will be dry, with partly to mostly sunny skies. But, once again, the models disagree on early Saturday morning. The American model believes we will see some early morning rain and thunderstorms early Saturday morning. The European model keeps us dry for the entire day. So, for now, I will keep dry weather for next Saturday. The weather pattern the last few weeks have proved we have seen sunshine for part or most of the last few Saturdays.

72 hour forecast:

Tonight: Partly cloudy and less humid with a low of 58.
Sunday: Mostly sunny with a high of 81. Winds will come from the north-northwest at 7-10 mph.
McCoy Stadium Forecast (1:05 p.m. vs. Charlotte): Mostly sunny, 79.
Sunday night: Partly cloudy with a low of 58. Winds will come from the north-northwest at 4-7 mph.
Monday: Mostly sunny with increasing clouds starting in the late afternoon. We will see a high of 82.
Monday night: Cloudy with isolated showers by 3 a.m. and a low of 61.
Tuesday: Cloudy with scattered showers by mid-morning. We will see a high of 83.
Tuesday night: Isolated showers end by 9 p.m. but skies will remain cloudy. We will have a low near 65.

Extended Forecast:
Wednesday: Cloudy with showers arriving by the start of the morning commute. Highs 80-83, lows 63-66.
Thursday: Showers end around 2 a.m. Rain/thunderstorms start around 2 p.m. Highs 78-81, lows 60-63.
Friday: Precipitation ends around 9 a.m. with partly to mostly sunny skies. Highs 76-79, lows 60-63.
Saturday: Mostly sunny skies and slightly cooler. Highs 73-76, lows 60-63.