OK, people have been asking for the picks to be posted, so here they are. Some weeks we might have 8-10 playable games. This week that's not the case. It was a solid opening weekend with a 5-0-1 mark (2-0 CFL, 3-0-1 college). We're not nearly as confident this week. There are no "all in" type plays like we had with LSU and Edmonton last week but there are a few spots you might make money. Last night we had a small play on the Ravens plus 7 1/2 and a medium play on the over, so we're 1-1 for the week but up 1/2 unit. (Small play: half unit. Medium play: one unit. Big play 2 units. Max play: 5-10 units.)
As the NFL kicks off in full stride, I usually like to spectate the first couple weeks unless there is value.
The Patriots had a rough offseason, have lost three key weapons on offense and some experts actually think Miami can win the division. Because of that, the Patriots are only -91/2 at Buffalo.
Here's the positives: The Patriots should be much improved on defense. They still have weapons on offense and expect Tom Brady to make use of Shane Vereen in the passing game. The Bills have a rookie coach and rookie quarterback coming off an injury, backed up by an undrafted rookie free agent. Bill Belichick feasts on rookie coaches and QBs.
The pick: Patriots -9 1/2, medium play.
That's our only NFL play this week, but if you are a degenerate and need more action, there is some value in Texans -31/2 vs. San Diego, Chicago -3 vs. Cincinnati. Also don't be shocked if home dog Carolina not only covers the 3 1/2 vs. Seattle but wins outright.
For college, we'll take Washington State plus 16 at USC. This is a better Washington State team, one that had every chance to win in a tough environment last week against Auburn. USC has failed to cover in six of its last seven games, has questions at quarterback and head coach. As a public team and one that is close to Vegas, USC gets overbet. Keep an eye on this line until the last minute as it could easily jump over 17.
The pick: Washington State plus 16, medium play.
Finally, for CFL degenerates, Saskatchewan -8 1/2 over Winnipeg. These teams played last week, and the Bombers played about as well as they could and still lost 45-28. The Riders should be better this week and roll to another victory. Medium play.
OTHER GAMES OF NOTE
These are no plays for me, but ones that might interest some of you:
Sam Houston State plus-38 1/2 at Texas A&M. This number was well over 40 early in the week and was worth a look then. Now it's a pass. A&M is far superior, but Sam can score points and the Aggie d was gashed last week by Rice. And by the way, A&M will be looking ahead to some school called Alabama next week.
Texas -7 at BYU. The Longhorns got off to a slow start last week before rolling an awful New Mexico State team. BYU got off to a slow start, middle and end in losing to Virginia in a slopfest. BYU is better than it looked last week, but is awful on offense. Texas usually feasts on teams like this and won't be surprised if the Horns cover this with ease.
Temple plus 3 at home vs. Houston. As much as I'd like to think the Cougars are back, they didn't beat much last week, had 14 penalties and now have a legitimate QB controversy. Temple statistically was solid against Notre Dame but couldn't score. UH was awful on the road last year. Computer models show Temple should be a two point favorite. Hoping the models are wrong as a fan but if you are playing, a slight edge to Temple as a home dog.
Other games to watch: Miami -3 vs. Florida, ULL plus 10 1/2 at Kansas State. Edmonton plus 3 1/2 vs Calgary (CFL).
Good luck and remember, always wager responsibly. And legally.