The latest observations from August show that neutral conditions continue across much of the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Neutral conditions are likely for the upcoming winter and into the spring of 2014. The slideshow on the top of the page has the model forecasts.
The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) says “There has been a rapid expansion of dry soil moisture conditions across parts of the northern plains, the upper Mississippi valley and western great lakes states in recent weeks.”
“The October temperature outlook indicates elevated odds for above-normal monthly mean temperatures for much of the western conus, the Great Plains, the western great lakes states, New England and northern Alaska.”
At this point there are no clear climate signals relating to precipitation or temperature for October to December, so the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecast is for an equal chance of above, below, and near normal conditions.
The slideshow on the top of the page has the official forecast maps.
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