The Obama administration is creating a new reality in the Middle East. With major policy shifts in several key countries it’s clear to all observers that America can no longer be trusted to maintain stability in the region.
"Obama has now announced that the United States cannot be relied upon to stand up to Iran," says Michael Doran, a Middle East adviser to President George W. Bush. "Therefore, Israel and our Arab allies will be forced to live by their wits."
Now, with the Obama administration signing a deal with Iran that Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has described as an “historic mistake” and angered bitterly our oil allies in the gulf led by Saudi Arabia there might be a military alliance growing between them.
“…Shared worries over Iran's influence and ambitions already has brought back-channel contacts and "intimate relationships" on defense and other strategic interests” remarked Dan Gillerman former Israeli ambassador to the U.N. Theodore Karasik, a security and political affairs analyst at the Dubai-based Institute for Near East and Gulf Military Analysis said, "This situation opens up some interesting possibilities as it all shakes out."
Israel is not in a position to launch a strike from where they sit on the map. Therefore, they would need forward bases to launch sorties, refuel planes and re supply ground troops going in to do the clean up.
But, Saudi Arabia is not the only ally Israel might have in any attack on Iran. Over the last two decades Israel has fostered a growing relationship with the countries north of Iran and south of Russia. Uzbekistan, Kazakstan, Azerbaijan have strong relations with Israel although they are kept quiet because these are Muslim countries. It is very possible that the Jewish State might develop forward bases in both geographic locations.
It is inconceivable how the other nations in the region along with Israel who are threatened by a nuclearized Iran would trust the United States given its history in the area over the last five years. The Iran deal has brought everyone closer to war. We on this side of the world just have to hope and pray that Iran’s military adventurism into the Sunni world is stopped before it gets a real power to destroy.
We should no longer count on our government to protect us from that danger. Look to Israel, the Gulf States and those countries north of Iran to do the job for us.