Climate scientists from Colorado State University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory in Palisades New York, and Columbia University predicted that hurricanes similar in size and destruction like Hurricane Sandy are unlikely to occur according to a multidisciplinary analysis that was published in the Sept. 2, 2013, edition of the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
The researchers claim that the persistence of weather conditions that led to storms like Sandy are unlikely to persist and that the most probable scenario is that future large tropical storms will remain in the Atlantic Ocean and not make land fall on the East Coast of the United States.
The researcher’s analysis included all presently available hurricane data from the National Weather Service National Hurricane Center and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The analysis also included as much current information about global warming patterns and the effect that global temperature increases have had on hurricane paths and the frequency of hurricanes in the Atlantic and Caribbean.
Certainly, climate prediction is not an exact science but this is the most scrupulous analysis of all the data that exists to date and offers a great deal of hope to residents of the East Coast of the United States as the high point of the Atlantic hurricane season rapidly approaches.