All the action gets underway with a Thursday night NFC West showdown between the Seattle Seahawks and the Arizona Cardinals, and concludes with the MNF game between the Minnesota Vikings and New York Giants.
Let's kick things of with the Thursday Night Football game on NFL Network, scheduled to kickoff at 8:40 p.m. EST (5:40 p.m. PST).
According to the latest NFL week 7 point spreads, the visiting Seahawks are listed as [-6½] favorites by just over a touchdown versus the hosting Cardinals [+6½] and the OVER/UNDER is set at a combined total of 40 points.
It's worth noting that opening spreads had Seattle at -6 and Arizona at +6, which indicates that most of the betting action favors the visitor's spread. Can the Seattle Seahawks cover a 6 or a 6½-point spread, is the big question. Here's one scenario:
Offensively, Seattle's offense comes in averaging 26.2 points per game, which ranks eighth best in the National Football League.
Defensively, Arizona is third in the league, allowing a stingy 15.7 points through six ballgames.
Doing some simple math, one NFL week 7 picks against spread could be that the Seahawks will win this game by 10 points. Here's another outlook ion this game:
On offense, the Redbirds come in averaging 18.5 points per game, but the renowned Seahawks "D" only surrenders 15.7 (ppg) per contest.
Once again, with simple arithmetic, this statistical comparison dictates that Pete Carroll & Co. have the ability to surrender a mere field goal to the anemic Cards' attack.
Finally, yet another way to predict the outcome of this game is to simply take the total each team scores per game, subtract them, and take the product as another piece of valuable data for your hypothesis.
In this instance, as mentioned above, the Seattle Seahawks score around 26 points per game and the Cardinals put up just under 19 points per week.
Based on these figures, one can infer that the Seattle will defeat Arizona by exactly 7 points. As one can see, in each and every one of the aforementioned likely scenarios, the NFC West leaders come out on top by a minimum of 7 points.
While stats aren't everything in sports, especially in football, they're a good tool to utilize when trying to make an educated guess and differentiating between a good bet and a questionable one.
Stats, combined with the knowledge one possesses as an avid NFL football fan, is without question the winning combination in ATS play.
For this TNF game, a good example of some basic "knowledge" is the home-field advantage that the Cards are "supposed" to enjoy being at University of Phoenix Stadium.
For a west coast team like the Seahawks, traveling across the country is taxing, even on the bodies of these well-conditioned athletes. However, the fact that this game will take place out west annulus any intangibles the home team may have.
So, in essence, minus the record-breaking decibels at CenturyLink Field, this is merely a home game for Russell Wilson and the Hawks.
And while that's just one of the many intangibles that one could be used to - coupled with some stats - try and predict the outcome of a game, it's a big one.
Thus, it comes as no surprise that, excluding Vegas betting lines, most of the ATS action for this week 7 opener has been pretty one-sided.
Check out the ATS General Consensus for this TNF game and NFL week 7 odds that include Vegas betting lines, OVER/UNDER totals and TV start times:
- Seattle's Point Spread: 66 percent (1121-574)
- Arizona's Point Spread: 34 percent (574-1121)
- OVER 40 Points: 57 percent (616-473)
- UNDER 40 Points: 43 percent (473-616)
NFL Week 7 Vegas Betting Lines
- Seattle Seahawks [-275] v. Arizona Cardinals [+230]
- New England Patriots [-195] v. NY Jets [+170]
- San Diego Chargers [-330] v. Jacksonville Jaguars [+275]
- Cincinnati Bengals [+120] v. Detroit Lions [-140]
- Buffalo Bills [+315] v. Miami Dolphins [-375]
- Chicago Bears [N/A] v. Washington Redskins [N/A]
- Dallas Cowboys [+115] v. Philadelphia Eagles [-135]
- St Louis Rams [+220] v. Carolina Panthers [-260]
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers [+260] v. Atlanta Falcons [-310]
- San Francisco 49ers [-205] v. Tennessee Titans [+175]
- Cleveland Browns [+390] v. Green Bay Packers [-475]
- Baltimore Ravens [+110] v. Pittsburgh Steelers [-130]
- Houston Texans [+230] v. Kansas City Chiefs [-275]
- Denver Broncos [-275] v. Indianapolis Colts [+230]
- Minnesota Vikings [+160] v. NY Giants [-180]
NFL Week 7 Spreads & NFL OVER/UNDER
- Seahawks [-6½] vs. Cardinals [+6½] - 40
- Patriots [-3½] vs. Jets [+3½] - 43½
- Chargers [-7½] vs. Jaguars [+7½] - 45
- Bengals [+1] vs. Lions [-1] - 47
- Bills [+7½] vs. Dolphins [-7½] - 43
- Bears [PK] vs. Redskins [PK] - 50
- Cowboys [+2½] vs. Eagles [-2½] - 55
- Rams [+6] vs. Panthers [-6] - 42
- Buccaneers [+7] vs. Falcons [-7] - 43
- 49ers [-4] vs. Titans [+4] - 39½
- Browns [+10] vs. Packers [-10] - 46
- Ravens [+1] vs. Steelers [-1] - 40½
- Texans [+6½] vs. Chiefs [-6½] - 40
- Broncos [-6½] vs. Colts [+6½] - 56
- Vikings [+3] vs. Giants [-3] - 46½
NFL Week 7 TV Times & Broadcast Schedule
Thursday, Oct. 17, 2013
- Seahawks vs. Cardinals on NFL Network (8:30 p.m.)
Sunday, Oct. 20, 2013
- Patriots vs. Jets on CBS (1:05 p.m.)
- Chargers vs. Jaguars on CBS (1:05 p.m.)
- Bengals vs. Lions on CBS (1:05 p.m.)
- Bills vs. Dolphins on CBS (1:05 p.m.)
- Bears vs. Redskins on FOX (1:05 p.m.)
- Cowboys vs. Eagles on FOX (1:05 p.m.)
- Rams vs. Panthers on FOX (1:05 p.m.)
- Buccaneers vs. Falcons on FOX (1:05 p.m.)
- 49ers vs. Titans on FOX (4:05 p.m.)
- Texans vs. Chiefs on CBS (4:25 p.m.)
- Browns vs. Packers on CBS (4:25 p.m.)
- Ravens vs. Steelers on CBS (4:25 p.m.)
Sunday, Oct. 20, 2013
- Broncos vs. Colts on NBC (8:35 p.m.)
Monday, Oct. 21, 2013
- Vikings vs. Giants on ESPN (8:40 p.m.)
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