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New Gallup poll indicates huge GOP gains in November

Obama facing last two years in the political wilderness
Obama facing last two years in the political wilderness
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All the signs of a major Republican landslide are in place for the November elections. A new Gallup Poll suggests there are still more Americans that identify with the Democratic Party than the Republican, but that won’t stop the tide of anger growing in this country.

The poll, which was released on Thursday, shows that voters have a major dissatisfaction with President Barack Obama, the economy, foreign policy, the many scandals and other factors. It spells what could be the makings of the largest repositioning of power in the upper echelons of government in over 100 years.

The poll showed that 42 percent of Americans say they are Democrats or they are Democratic-leaning independents, and 40 percent say they are Republicans or lean right. But traditionally in midterm elections, the party in power takes a hit at election time. That could be dramatically elevated in 2014.

Gallup found the same situation with the midterm years of 1994, 2002, and 2010. Those were strong Republican years. The Democrats scored big in 1998 and 2006. This time around, only one in four Americans are satisfied with the direction in which the country is heading.

This is made worse with the fact that Barack Obama is more unpopular than he was when the Democrats were tromped in 2010. The pollster is finding that the current numbers point toward an overwhelming victory for the Republicans with American voters so disgruntled.

The numbers do not lie. In 2010, the president’s numbers for his job approval hovered around 40 percent and the Democrats lost 60 House seats. In 2014, those job approval numbers are even lower and sinking quickly to record lows.

The Democrats have to match or exceed Republican turnout in November, which will be nearly impossible with the current lack of enthusiasm among Democratic voters. If this does not happen, and it is highly unlikely it will, the Democratic Party will lose the Senate and scores of House seats leaving the president vulnerable and politically alone his last two years in office.

The Republicans already control the House. That will remain secure in this election. The GOP is more likely to make its big gains in the Senate, replacing many incumbents who were elected in 2008. That will change the direction in politics by 180 degrees with the ouster of ultra-liberal majority leader Harry Reid and his undying support of the president.

A most unlikely source of bad news for Democrats is the New York Times. They conducted a daily computerized analysis of the upcoming election. On Friday they reported that Republicans have a 54 percent likelihood of wresting control of the Senate away from Democrats.

The Times went on to name the most vulnerable Democratic incumbents as John Walsh of Montana, with a 96 percent likelihood; Mark Pryor, Arkansas, 74 percent; Mary Landrieu, Louisiana, 60 percent; Mark Udall, Colorado, 40 percent; Kay Hagan, North Carolina, 39 percent; and Mark Begich, Alaska, at 38 percent. West Virginia, Montana, and South Dakota are considered “locks” for the Republicans.

Democrats seeking re-election in red states, with the president’s popularity ratings so low, further hamper the Democratic candidates in Louisiana, Arkansas, North Carolina, and Alaska, considered red states.

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