An interactive climate change tool has just been released in a new report by a research and journalism organization. If it is correct and greenhouse gases continue increasing, then Bakersfield residents or rather, their heirs, can expect summers to get even hotter by the end of the century.
According to the report, "1001 Blistering Future Summers," average summer temperatures across the nation will increase so much that most cities will see summers similar to what is now experienced in Texas or Florida. Literally 1,001 American cities were included in the project which used current climate change models to predict future average temperatures.
Some cities will get even hotter, experiencing temperatures similar to the Middle East. Las Vegas temperatures will soar to 111°F, making it feel like Riyadh, Saudi Arabia does today. Phoenix temperatures will reach 114°F, similar to Kuwait City.
Here in Bakersfield, residents will see summer temperatures increase from current averages of 95.2°F to 104.3°F similar to current averages in Prescott, Arizona. (However, some locals may argue that Bakersfield has already surpassed this after sweltering through a recent extended heat wave!)
Other examples include Boston experiencing temperatures similar to North Miami Beach, Florida, and Helena, Montana feeling like Riverside, California. On average, summer heat is projected to warm 7-10°F, though some cities will have summers 12°F warmer than they are now.
The analysis only accounts for daytime summer heat — the hottest average temperatures of the day between June-July-August — and neither humidity nor dewpoint, both of which affect how uncomfortable summer heat feels.
The organization, Climate Central, surveys and conducts scientific research on subjects such as climate change, energy, sea level rise, wildfires, and drought, and reports key findings to the public. It is a 501(c)(3) tax-exempt organization that does not lobby, advocate, or support any specific legislation, policy, or bill.