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NBA Free Sports Picks: Heat vs. Wizards Vegas Odds, Handicapping Preview

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Joe Duffy’s Picks has a ton of intel on Wednesday night’s portfolio. It is a definite must-read below. However, here is another in a long-line of free NBA picks from

MIAMI -5.5 Washington

If a road favorite of five or more is coming off a loss as an underdog and/or road loss, they continue to be a profitable bet since the 1980s. Recent years remain profitable, though admittedly not at the almost automatic rate of previous years.

The theory being that one quality team loses to another quality squad, then will take out their frustrations on an inferior team. Our scorephone clients have won with this for more than a quarter century and when we discovered it, the winnings went back as far as our database did: to 1980.

Long-time clients also know we are not big fans of against the spread trends, but I have an impossible time ignoring that Miami is 27-8 to the number in DC since 1996. Off a rare case of consecutive losses, Miami will have a chip on their shoulders tonight. We say time and time again, rest benefits teams that need it the most. Now you have Miami regrouping off as bad as they will play in back-to-back situations.

Washington is playing substantially better on the road than at home. There will be as many Heat fans there tonight in apathetic Verizon Center. The home team is 8-1 to the number in their last eight.

Joe Duffy’s Picks is on the Heat.

Tonight’s premium picks: A time proven angle applies tonight. We ride a team that has very specific reasons they are peaking now. We have another team that has settled in since getting a key cog back. Another team clearly should not be the favored, but is. We break down why. 5-0 awaits all pros.

Yes this is the time of the year our metrics turn it up several notches. Spots and situations, deceptive records and more explode this time of the year. The winner are at from Joe Duffy's Picks



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