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Middle Atlantic could face more cold and storms after brief warm-up

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Recent cold and snowy weather in the Middle Atlantic states is leaving residents wondering if winter has another surprise or two in store before true spring weather settles in for the duration. Thursday's weather will feature unseasonably cold temperatures once again in Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Washington with highs only in the 30s (average highs for this time of year are in the upper 40s to lower 50s.) Friday will be a bit milder with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s. A coastal system may brush the region with some rain showers on Friday night into Saturday. The period Saturday afternoon through Tuesday looks mostly sunny and seasonably mild across the region with highs in the 40s and 50s. Isolated spots inland may even reach 60 by early next week. The mild weather will be a welcome change for those who are tired of shoveling snow and bracing themselves each day for cold temperatures.

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However, computer forecast models are hinting at a possible return to cold and stormy conditions later next week. The American forecast model, the GFS, is less bullish about the idea of a winter pattern. This particular model shows fragmented pieces of energy that keep the cold air locked up in southern Canada and prevent an organized system from developing in the eastern half of the country. The European model, often referred to as the EURO, shows a much different pattern with an organized area of energy rolling eastward and bringing down a surge of arctic air as low pressure develops off the Atlantic coast and develops into a powerful storm. We will have to wait several days to see if these models, and several others, can come into more consistent agreement on next week's pattern. Nonetheless, we should keep in mind that stormy and cold weather is not that unusual in the Middle Atlantic states in March.

In the meantime, here are some links with more specific forecasts for your location:

NWS forecast for Philadelphia, PA

NWS forecast for Baltimore, MD

NWS forecast for Washington, DC

NWS forecast for Annapolis, MD

For more weather updates, please visit my web site www.chesapeakebayweather.com, my Chesapeake Bay Weather page on Facebook, and if you're heading to Ocean City feel free to check out my Ocean City MD Weather page on Facebook. You can also follow me on Twitter @chesbayweather.

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