Mean reversion trade: SanDisk (SNDK)


SNDK is up 45.12% for 2010 compared to the S&P 500 Index, down 7.57%

Mean reversion trade: SanDisk (SNDK)

Company Overview

SanDisk Corporation (SNDK) is in the business of designing, developing and manufacturing data storage solutions in a range of form factors using the flash memory, controller and firmware technologies.

Fundamentals

Shareholder Equity: SanDisk has 230 million shares outstanding. 226 million are floating shares available for the public to purchase. Institutions own 76.45% of the stock.

Financial Strength: Shiloh has a debt to equity ratio of 0.23. The company has been less aggressive in using debt to finance growth than 62% of the companies in the computer storage devices industry.

Valuation: The trailing price/earnings ratio for SNDK 11.65, a higher valuation than 62% of the companies in the industry.

Profitability: A net profit margin of 21.48% places SNDK in the top quintile of the industry.

Management Effectiveness: Both return on assets at 15.05% and return on equity at 23.38% are high. The return on equity number indicates that SanDisk is reinvesting its earnings more efficiently than 78% of its competitors.

Growth Rate: At 137.8%, the company’s growth rate is better than 76% of its competitors.

Analyst Ratings: Thomson Reuters has an “outperform” rating on the stock. Standard and Poor’s rates the shares as a “hold.”

Performance

The shares of SNDK are up 45.12% as of Wednesday’s close while the broad market as measured by the S&P 500 index is down 7.57%. The trend is up.

Short-Term Reversion to the Mean

SanDisk closed on Wednesday at $42.07 after reaching a high of 50.55 on June 21. SNDK is oversold within a bullish trend and a candidate for a reversion to the mean trade. The strategy is to buy on Thursday at 42.07 or better with a stop loss placed at 3.38 below the entry price. The target price is 48.82 based on Wednesday’s close.

For more information visit Grail Investing at grailinvesting.com.

Note: GrailInvesting.com and all services provided on its web site are for educational purposes only. Nothing contained within its Web site should be interpreted as a recommendation to purchase, sell or hold any security at any time. Always consult with an investment advisor familiar with your financial goals before making any investment or trading decisions.

 

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, Houston Personal Finance Examiner

Larry Holmes has over 30 years of experience as a financial advisor. He has also presented over 2,000 financial seminars, workshops, and keynote addresses in all 50 U.S. states and the United Kingdom.

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