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March 2014 outlook issued

Model ENSO Predictions
Model ENSO Predictions
IRC/CPC

The cold temperatures from February will likely continue into March and beyond.

Weekly Temperature Anomaly 26 Jan-1 Feb
Weekly Temperature Anomaly 26 Jan-1 Feb
NOAA/ESRL/PSD

The latest observations from January show that neutral conditions continue across much of the equatorial Pacific Ocean. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) says the “ENSO outlook indicates the enso-neutral state is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere spring of 2014.”

Beyond that, the models indicate that there is a rising probability for the development of El Niño conditions during the summer of 2014.

The slideshow on the top of the page has the model forecasts.

The Climate Prediction Center forecast is for the cooler than average temperatures to continue into March and for the March to May outlooks.

At this point there are no clear climate signals relating to precipitation for the month of March or for the longer range of March - May so the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecast is for an equal chance of above, below, and near normal precipitation.

The slideshow on the top of the page has the official forecast maps.

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