The latest observations from January and early February show that neutral conditions continue across the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Most of the models predict near average sea surface temperatures for much of the spring and summer. However, the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) says “because model skill is generally low during April-June, there is less confidence in the forecast beyond the spring. Thus, ENSO-neutral is favored through Northern Hemisphere spring 2013.” The slideshow on the top of the page has the model forecasts.
Climate Prediction Center (CPC) outlook for both March and the March to May timeframe is for warmer and wetter than average conditions for the Great Lakes.
The slideshow on the top of the page has the official forecast maps.
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