Yet another coastal storm will have a profound impact on upstate eastern New York through Friday morning. Low pressure was developing explosively over the outer banks of North Carolina this morning, and will continue to do so through the evening hours tonight, while tracking slowly north of northeast. The storm is expected to be over the southern New England coast late Thursday evening, and out into the Gulf of Maine early Friday morning.
Snow had developed over the Capital Region this morning, and will continue through the day today. Satellite and radar pictures indicate heavier bands of snowfall closer to the southern New England coast, and over the northern mid Atlantic states. These bands were moving steadily northward and may impact the Capital Region in time for the rush hour this evening, bringing dangerous travel conditions to the region.
Significant snowfall accumulations are expected, with upward of a foot of snow looking likely across the bulk of the Capital Region before the storm pulls away, and precipitation abates, early Friday morning.
A weaker upper level disturbance may bring some lighter snows to the region on Saturday before high pressure begins to build into the region on Sunday. A slow yet steady moderation in temperatures is expected as we head into the new work week. Low pressure tracks to the north and west of the region early next week, allowing for warmer air to be in place for any precipitation that falls as result of the system’s warm and cold front pair, which is forecast to cross the region in the time frame of Monday night and Tuesday of next week. Thus, even though precipitation may begin as snow, a transition to all liquid precipitation is expected.
...Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity...
**National Weather Service WINTER STORM WARNING In Effect From 10 AM EST Thursday to 10 AM EST Friday**
Today: Snow. Snow may be heavy at times this afternoon. High near 30. North to northwest winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of snow is 100 percent. Snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches by dark.
Tonight: Periods of snow. Becoming breezy. Snow may be heavy at times prior to midnight, but should slowly diminish in intensity after midnight. Low near 25. Northwest winds 10-20 MPH with some higher gusts to near 25 MPH possible at times. Chance of snow is 100 percent. Additional snow accumulations of 5 to 10 inches by dawn.
Friday: Light snow and/or snow showers during the morning tapering off before noon. Intervals of clouds and sunshine for the afternoon. Windy. High in the mid 30’s. Northwest winds 15-25 MPH with some higher gusts possible at times. Chance of snow in the morning is 30 percent. Additional snow accumulations of an inch or less.
Friday Night: Mostly clear to start, with increasing clouds late at night. Low near 15. Light and variable winds.
Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine. Breezy, with a chance of snow showers. High near 30. Northwest winds 10-15 MPH. Chance of snow 30 percent.
Sunday: Partly sunny and breezy. High near 25 and low near zero.
Monday: Mostly sunny. High near 30 and low near 20.
Tuesday: A 40 percent chance of snow and rain. High near 40 and low near 20.
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy. High near 40 and low near 25.