The leading edge of warmer air, a warm front, was advancing northeastward toward the Capital Region this morning. This frontal system was tied to an area of low pressure over the upper Midwest. Most of the precipitation with this feature is expected to remain well north and west of the region today. Clouds will be plentiful once again today, as the system lurks nearby.
The low pressure area mentioned above will track steadily northeastward to be over the upper Great Lakes by Thursday morning. The warm front will have passed through the region early in the day, driving an increase in southerly to southwesterly low level winds behind it. Thus, a fairly mild day is expected on Thursday, before the low pressure system’s cold front approaches, bringing additional precipitation chances during the afternoon and evening hours on Thursday. The cold front is forecast to stall to our south on Friday, as several waves of low pressure form, and ride along, the frontal system. Such a pattern lends itself to unsettled conditions as we head into the weekend, with each wave of low pressure potentially bringing a chance for additional precipitation, some of it being the wintry variety.
High pressure builds into the region late Saturday and lasts through the day on Sunday, before another duo of low pressure systems advances upon the region Sunday night and into the early portions of the new work week. This system may very well bring the region some accumulating snowfall in time for the new work week’s first morning commute on Monday. Details to follow in future forecasts.
...Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity...
Today: Intervals of clouds and sunshine. High 40-45. Light and variable winds.
Tonight: Increasing, thickening, and lowering clouds with a chance of showers late at night. Early low near 35, with temperatures possibly rising a few degrees after midnight. Light southeast winds. Chance of rain is 30 percent.
Thursday: Overcast and mild with showers likely. High near 50. South winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of rain is 90 percent.
Thursday Night: Overcast with showers likely. Low in the upper 30’s. Southwest winds, shifting west, at 5-15 MPH. Chance of rain is 80 percent.
Friday: Overcast with showers likely during the morning, and a chance of rain and/or snow showers during the afternoon. Early high in the lower 40’s with temperatures falling into the 30’s during the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent.
Saturday: Intervals of clouds and sunshine with a 30 percent chance of snow showers. High near 35 and low near 20.
Sunday: Increasing clouds with a 50 percent chance of snow developing during the evening. High near 35 and low near 20.
Monday: Overcast with a 50 percent chance of a wintry mix of snow, sleet, freezing rain, and/or rain. High near 35 and low near 25.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of snow showers. High near 30 and low near 15.