As the Nov. 2014 midterm elections draw closer, pollsters are showing that the Republicans are not only maintaining their lead over Democrats – but that lead is growing as Election Day nears. Pew Research, one of the most extensive and respected pollsters stated on Monday that the Democratic Party – via its data – is harmed by an uneven economy recovery and a continuing unpopular health care law named the Affordable Care Act or Obamacare. Additionally, the party’s leader – President Barack Obama – has struck new lows in his approval rating at the same time.
Just last week, a New York Post and ABC poll showed that Obama’s approval rating dropped to 41 percent which was a drop of 5 percentage points in the first three months of 2014. Naturally, being a midterm election year, this is a devastating time for a president to have such numbers across the landscape of the nation. The numbers in the New York Post/ABC poll as well as the new Pew Research poll shows that Obama and his Democratic party are weaker than they were in 2010 when the Republicans gained a majority in the House of Representatives.
The Pew Research Center/USA Today poll was conducted on April 23-27. It found that 47 percent of registered voters support the Republican candidates in their district, or lean Republican. Just 43 percent favor Democratic candidates, or lean Democrat. In the past half-year, the Democrats have lost footing. When polled in Oct. 2013, the situation was quite the opposite. At that time, 49 percent of voters polled were in favor of – or leaning – Democrat. Six months ago, only 43 percent were in favor of the Republican candidates – or leaning in that direction.
The poll shows that Obama inspires much less enthusiasm among his Democratic voters than he did four years ago. Of those who say they plan to vote Democratic in the midterm elections, only 30 percent of them say that their vote is being cast “for” the president. Four years ago, in February of 2010, an incredible 47 percent of Democratic voters said their vote was in support of Barack Obama.
Equally, Republicans are no more likely to cast a vote for the Republicans because they are “against” Obama than they did four years ago. In 2010, 42 percent of Republicans were casting their votes because they weren’t supporting the president. In 2014, 46 percent – or about the same percentage – are still voting Republican because of dissatisfaction with President Obama.
Via Pew Research data, Obama’s approval rating has remained the same in the past four months. In December 2013 as now, President Obama’s approval rating among Pew Research poll respondents is 44 percent public approval to 50 percent disapproving of his job performance. Compared to April 2010 – before the last midterm election, Obama’s job rating was somewhat improved from the present rating. Then, he had a 47 percent approval rating and a 42 percent disapproval rating.
The poll also shows that 65 percent of voters would like to see the next president of the United States offer different policies and programs from the policies and programs currently enacted by the Obama administration. This, of course, would include Obamacare as one the programs of which Americans want changed. Only 30 percent want the new president in 2016 to offer similar policies and programs.
The poll also shows that despite an improved unemployment rate, the nation feels that jobs are still quite difficult to find in the Obama economy, according to Politico. Last Friday, the unemployment rate in the nation improved very slightly. However, the sub-headlines to every unemployment rate report for ages has been that many people have been frustrated to the point that they are no longer looking for jobs. These persons no longer seeking employment are not counted in the data which equates to a very skewed and misleading unemployment report being projected by the federal government.