The area of high pressure that brought fair and chilly weather to the region over the Christmas holiday was east of the region this morning. A fast moving, clipper disturbance and area of low pressure was over the lower Great Lakes and moving northeast into southern Ontario province in Canada. Light snow had developed over central New York and was slowly spreading into the Mohawk and Schoharie Valleys, and areas to the north of the Capital Region. The snowfall is expected to continue its eastward advance, and may impact portions of the Capital Region through the day today. Generally, a light snowfall is expected, and perhaps only some flurries in the immediate Capital Region and points south and east.
A coastal low pressure system is forecast to form later this afternoon over eastern New England, working its way into the Gulf of Maine overnight tonight. Some more substantial accumulations of snow may occur over portions of Maine, and in the Canadian Maritime provinces thanks to this feature. However, the coastal system looks to develop too far to the east to be a player at all in the Capital Region’s weather.
Temperatures do not look to fall too rapidly behind the system mentioned above, and in fact, only look to continue to moderate through the end of the work week and into the coming weekend. The next shot at precipitation looks to come on Sunday as low pressure advances from the Great Lakes into northern New England by Monday morning. This track should keep mainly rainfall as the predominant precipitation type over the area until the system’s cold front passes through on Monday morning. A colder airmass, with Arctic origins, and perhaps some lake effect snow showers, looks to pay the region a visit just in time for the start of 2014.
...Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity...
Today: Increasing clouds with light snow showers and/or flurries developing. A steadier snow is possible north and west of the Capital Region. High in the lower 30’s. South to southwest winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of snow is 60 percent, except 80 percent north and west of the Capital Region. Snowfall accumulations of a dusting to an inch are possible over the Capital Region, while as areas to the north and west may see 1 to 3 inches of accumulation.
Tonight: Partly cloudy. Low near 20. West winds 5-10 MPH.
Friday: Mostly sunny. High in the mid 30’s. West winds 5-15 MPH.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Low near 20. West winds 5-10 MPH.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High near 40. Southwest winds 5-15 MPH.
Sunday: Increasing clouds with a 40 percent chance of rain showers. High near 40 and low near 30.
Monday: A 50 percent chance of rain and/or snow. High near 35 and low near 20.
Tuesday: Partly sunny, blustery, and cold. A 30 percent chance of snow showers. High near 25 and low near 10.
Wednesday: Partly sunny, blustery, and cold. A 30 percent chance of snow showers. High near 20 and low near 5.