A weak and fast moving area of low pressure will pass to the north of the region this afternoon. As the system’s cold front passes through the area, some snow showers and squalls, and brisk northwest winds, are expected. Skies will clear a bit tonight, allowing for temperatures to fall back into the teens. The winds will eventually slacken off overnight, however, wind chill values early this evening may be below zero.
High pressure builds into the region for New Year’s Day, albeit briefly. Low pressure over the center of the nation will advance eastward on New Year’s Day, while a storm system over the Gulf of Mexico today, lifts steadily north and east to be over the Atlantic coast. The energy from these two systems will converge, forming a major coastal storm by evening on New Year’s Day. With the cold high pressure system to our north, keeping the region in bitter cold chill, a fluffy snow is expected to overspread the region late Wednesday night, and last through Thursday evening. Accumulations may be significant across the Capital Region and vicinity. In addition, due to the fluffy nature of the snowfall, any wind will cause blowing of falling and fallen snow, exacerbating already poor visibility.
Upon the storm’s exit by Friday morning, the ideal set up for bitter cold Arctic values will be in place over the region. A high pressure system to the north, clearing skies, slackening winds, and a fresh (potentially deep) snow pack. Overnight lows on Friday are forecast to be some of the coldest temperatures experienced thus far this season. Portions of the north country may bottom out Saturday morning around 20 below zero.
Another storm system approaches the region later in the weekend. The southerly flow in advance of the system should help bring some ‘warmer’ temperatures to the region (highs in the teens and 20’s above zero). In addition, another chance of what appears to be a wintry mix of precipitation types, looks to be in store for the region as the system passes through.
...Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity...
Today: Mostly cloudy with a chance of light snow and/or snow showers. Becoming blustery late in the day. High near 25. Southwest winds 5-10 MPH, shifting west during the afternoon and increasing to 10-20 MPH with some higher gusts at times. Chance of snow is 30 percent. A dusting of new snow is possible. Wind chill temperatures zero to ten above zero.
Tonight: Variably cloudy and cold. Low in the lower teens. West winds 5-15 MPH early, diminishing to 5-10 MPH late at night. Wind chill temperatures of five above to five below zero.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny and cold to start. Increasing afternoon clouds with a chance of snow showers late in the day. High near 25. West winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of snow is 30 percent. A dusting of new snow possible.
Wednesday Night: Periods of snow developing. Low 10-15. Northerly winds 5-10 MPH. Chance of snow is 80 percent.
Thursday: Periods of snow and windy. Snow may be heavy at times. Blowing and drifting of snow is possible. High near 15. Northerly winds 5-15 MPH. Chance of snow is 80 percent. Significant snow accumulation is possible. Wind chill temperatures five above to five below zero.
Friday: A chance of snow showers, especially during the morning. Otherwise, becoming partly sunny, blustery, and bitter cold. High near 5 above zero. North to northwest winds 10-20 MPH with higher gusts possible at times.
Saturday: Mostly sunny and frigid. High near 15 and low near 10.
Sunday: Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of late day snow showers. High near 30 and low near 15.
Monday: A 50 percent chance of rain and/or snow. High near 35 and low near 20.