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June 2014 outlook issued

Forecasts of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies
Forecasts of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies
International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate and Society

The Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures continue to warm but the neutral conditions remained for April and into the first part of May.

Sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies  4-10 May 2014
NOAA/ESRL/PSD

Significant changes in the weather pattern are likely this summer. In their latest discussion, the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) says “current atmospheric and oceanic observations suggest a transition from enso-neutral to El Niño conditions is underway.”

The Climate Prediction Center forecast for the Great Lakes is for the cooler than average temperatures to continue into June and for the June – August timeframe. At this point there are no clear climate signals relating to West Michigan precipitation for the month of June or for the longer range of June – August so the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecast is for an equal chance of above, below, and near normal precipitation. However the forecast is for below average precipitation across the northern half of Michigan for June.

The slideshow on the top of the page has the official forecast maps.

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