A.P. photo/ Yaron Kaminsky -- Galilee town of Kufr Kana
In today’s news (from IMRA, 2/5), the Israeli government reports no increased tension between Syria and Israel.
A few days earlier, however, Defense Min. Barak, known for having fled from Hizbullah before it was a formidable force, abandoning heavy weaponry and Lebanese allies, but without being put before a court martial for it, transferred Israeli defensive forces from the Golan, that he would like to abandon, to central Israel.
Meanwhile, U.S. intelligence finds that 5,000 Hizbullah troops are training to seize five Israeli towns in northern Israel and ignite an Arab uprising there. Hamas would open another front. Syria would provide artillery support. Iran is giving the troops a high level of skill.
The first Hizbullah battalion would break through the Lebanon border and seize all or part of Nahariya, a city of 55,000. Israeli defenses are lax, there, near UN peacekeepers. Think of all the hostages Hizbullah would capture!
A smaller group of marines would try to reach the coast.
A second battalion would seize the Israeli town of Shlomi, 300 yards from the border, in order to block Israeli reinforcements.
A third battalion would drive further, to reach Arab villages where they have Hizbullah sleeper cells and also to block Israeli reinforcements.
A fourth battalion would go to the Kadesh Valley, where it would fire upon the whole Galilee panhandle.
“Rocket attacks from Lebanon will focus on disabling Israel's strategic military sites, such as air force bases, missile bases, its nuclear facilities and naval bases. Targeting Israeli population centers is a lower Iranian priority.”
“Syria's initial involvement will be limited to cover by artillery or air for Hezb’allah operations. But if the fighting escalates or drags on, Hezb’allah will invite Syrian back-up forces to go into Lebanon; Damascus will open Front No. 4 against Israel from the Syrian side of the Golan Heights.”
“The Tehran-Hezb’allah war strategy is all but ready for any contingency. The obvious trigger would be an Israeli military operation against Iran's nuclear facilities, but once all the elements are in place, they could be activated by any other pretext conjured up in Tehran or Damascus.”
“In recent weeks, both Hezb’Allah and its Syrian allies have mobilized their forces while telling the Arab world that the Jewish state is about to attack Lebanon.”
“Hezb’Allah leader Hassan Nasrallah is straining at the leash to attack Israel however the crisis over Iran's nuclear program turns out.” (Winston Mideast Report & Analysis, 2/5 from Debka File.)
Israel does not seem to be doing anything to derail this scenario, to bolster its defenses. Rather, Defense Min. Barak has opened the path for the enemy. Whereas the enemy has become inventive and proactive, Israel has become complacent, led by politically minded generals and an apparently treasonous Defense Minister and perhaps Prime Minister.
(For the prior report on Barak leaving the Golan a sitting duck,
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