Did some factors cause climate change to stall over the past decade? The National Geographic reported yesterday that the journal Science has carried the release of a study with a look at the pause in the rising temperatures.
Ka-Kit Tung, an atmospheric scientist and applied mathematician at the University of Washington in Seattle, stated in the study that there is change. He and Xianyao Chen at Ocean University of China in Qingdao think that the heat has gone deep in the waters of the Atlantic Ocean. There was a contrary report earlier that the heat went into the Pacific Ocean.
A more in depth explanation is that the temporary slowdown in rising temperatures from a 30-year current cycle in the Atlantic Ocean is pushing heat into the ocean. Movement of heat deep into the Ocean does not let the planet and humans off the hook from warm temperatures and change for the future with its consequences.
However, at the end of the cycle warmer temperatures will continue to rise higher at the end of each decade. A study published by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has noted that each of the last three decades since 1850 is warmer at the Earth’s surface than the preceding decade.
Short term trends from short term records do not offer long-term climate trends according to the IPCC. The cautionary warning is that the push into the deep ocean can cause a change to increase temperature at a cycle end.
Tung adds another note of caution. It was thought that El Nino-El Nina was causing a push of warm temperature into a sink in the Pacific Ocean. This would end with the next El Nino. If the Atlantic is pushing warm temperatures into the Atlantic sink, then there may be a 15 year break. It is important he warns that a break in warming temperatures do not cause a signal that climate change is not in fact in action. He is afraid that climate change could be dismissed in error due to a lack of understanding that the warm temperature is merely deeper into the Atlantic Ocean at this time.
Sensors placed in the Pacific Ocean dive nearly a mile beneath the surface to measure the temperature and salt content of the water. The comparison to the Atlantic Ocean was that warm temperatures went deeper in the Atlantic Ocean and around Antarctica.Tung and Xianyao Chen drew the conclusion that deeper heat storage in the Atlantic provided the pause in average surface temperature globally.
Warmer water has pushed from Greenland due to its melt down and caused the push deeper into the Atlantic. Melt down from the Arctic is not in a pause mode. It is still sending warming waters that have appeared in certain sink areas in the Pacific. Rising sea level is still the concern on both oceans.