Strengthening low pressure over the upper Midwest this morning will move into the upper Great Lakes by this afternoon, and into southeastern Canada overnight tonight. The system’s warm front will advance toward the Capital Region through the day today, passing through during the evening and overnight hours. Trick-or-treaters will likely have to dodge some showers this afternoon and evening, and costumes that contain hats or gear that may be easily blown off by the wind may want to take precautions, as a gusty south to southwest breeze is expected to pick up through the afternoon and evening hours.
Overnight tonight, southwest breezes are expected to become strong and gusty across the region as the warm front glides to our north. High wind warnings have been issued for portions of the Adirondacks, and western Mohawk Valley. Though winds are not expected to reach warning thresholds over the Capital Region, the wind will definitely be noticeable and those driving high profile vehicles should exercise caution.
Strong winds, along with another round of showers is expected on Friday as the low pressure area continues to strengthen over southeastern Canada, and a cold, and/or occluded frontal system sweeps through the region in the morning hours. Temperatures will likely spike during the morning and early afternoon hours, before slowly lowering by late in the day as the entire system lifts rapidly toward eastern New England, and the Canadian Maritime provinces.
Several disturbances look to hover close to the region for the coming weekend. Thus, unsettled and progressively cooler weather looks to prevail. Sunday looks downright chilly, as brisk and gusty northwest winds buffet the area bringing in a cooler airmass to the region to start out the new work week. Temperatures look to dip into the 20’s overnight on Sunday and into Monday morning. High pressure will be in control by this time, so the work week starts out on a tranquil note. As this high pressure area moves off to our east by midweek next week, temperatures begin to moderate to seasonal averages.
...Below is the official forecast for the Capital Region and vicinity...
Today: Mostly cloudy and becoming breezy by late in the day. Showers also developing toward evening. High near 60. Southerly winds 5-15 MPH, increasing to 10-20 MPH during the afternoon with some higher gusts to near 25 MPH possible at times. Chance of rain is 80 percent late in the day.
Tonight: Overcast and windy with showers likely. Mild. Low 55-60. Southerly to southwesterly winds 15-25 MPH with some higher gusts to near 30 MPH possible at times. Chance of rain is 90 percent.
Friday: Showers likely during the morning, with a chance of showers during the afternoon. Mild and windy. High 65-70, with temperatures falling through the 60’s during the afternoon. Southwest winds 15-30 MPH with some higher gusts to near 35 MPH possible at times. Winds should decrease to 10-20 MPH with some higher gusts by late afternoon. Chance of rain is 70 percent during the morning, and 40 percent during the afternoon.
Friday Night: Decreasing clouds. Low in the mid 40’s. Light west winds.
Saturday: Partly sunny. High near 60. West winds 5-10 MPH.
Sunday: Mostly sunny, windy, and chilly. High near 50 and low near 25.
Monday: Mostly sunny. High near 45 and low near 30.
Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High near 45 and low near 35.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High near 55 and low near 40.