Hurricane Earl is now a category 3 storm and well on it's way to growing stronger. It is in a favorable environment with light upper level winds and warm sea surface temperatures. The developing eye looks large as the upper level clouds clear out on the video loop below. This storm has hurricane force winds extending 60 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds out 185 miles.
The center of the storm is located 120 miles away from San Juan Puerot Rico, and the eye can be seen on the radar loop here. The outer rain bands have been lashing the islands and rain could range from 4 to 12 inches, enhanced by the mountains.
See the latest images and forecasts in this slide show.
The forecast path extends just of of the US east coast, but there is a 200-300 mile margin of error. This places the potential for a North Carolina or New England landfall, but dangerous rip currents will also be guaranteed along the entire shoreline. Just this past weekend, Danielle produced rip currents that forced Ocean City, MD beaches to close. Nearly 300 water rescues were made, and one swimmer has not been found. More on that and the wave forecast from the Baltimore Weather Examiner page.
Updated position and Warnings are posted below:
Hurricane 2010 Forecast Pages
* 2010 Hurricane Season: Atlantic Names
* 2010 NOAA Hurricane season outlook graphics
* 2010 Hurricane Season: NOAA forecast for a very active year
* 2010 Hurricane Season: Accuweather calls for active year and major landfalls
* Hurricane Season 2010 forecast video: Chimp takes on NOAA
* Interactive Hurricane Tracker
NEW: Satellite Loop Movie: 72 hours of Total Precipitable Water and TRMM
Climatology:
Atlantic Hurricane Climate: Storm points of origin maps all season
The database for developing tropical storms for the Atlantic goes back to 1851, while the eastern Pacific dates back to 1949.
Hurricane Awareness Week Links
* Hurricane Awareness Week: History of storms 1900-1979
* Hurricane Awareness Week: History of Atlantic storms 1980-2005
* Hurricane Awareness Week: Storm surge highlights oil danger on Louisiana coast
* Hurricane Awareness Week: Inland Flooding
* What is Storm Surge?
LIVE 3 HOUR SATELLITE LOOPS HERE
National Hurricane Center Update
SUMMARY OF 300 PM AST...1900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.1N 64.4W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM NE OF ST. THOMAS
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM ENE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
THE GOVERNMENT OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE
WARNING WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ANGUILLA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
* PUERTO RICAN ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANGUILLA
* PUERTO RICO
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
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