Hurricane Cristobal, the third hurricane of the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season, will remain over open waters into late week as it accelerates northeastward, but the storm will be responsible for generating rough surf and dangerous rip currents along the East coast of the United States just ahead of the Labor Day weekend.
Cristobal gives the Atlantic basin three hurricanes so far this year, exceeding the entire 2013 Atlantic hurricane season total. On average, the third hurricane of the Atlantic season arrives on September 9th, and the third named storm of the year on August 13th. The last time the first three named storms in the Atlantic basin became hurricanes was in 1983, when Alicia, Barry and Chantal all became hurricanes
Cristobal has been struggling with northwesterly shear and dry air for several days, but is now starting to look more like a hurricane with a central dense overcast condensing around the center of circulation.
The only land area at risk from Cristobal is Bermuda, and the 5 am EDT Tuesday Wind Probability Forecast from NHC gave that island a 27% chance of experiencing tropical storm force winds of 39+ mph as the core of the system will pass well north and west of the island nation. In addition, rough surf is expected to persist along much of the Eastern seaboard through Friday along with dangerous rip currents.
Stay tuned for continuing developments on the tropical Atlantic as the peak of the season nears around September 10th.